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Predicting Where Quarterback Free Agents Will Land

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By: All American Hooper

It’s the most wonderful time of the year. It’s post-hiring coaches season, and now we are at the point where we are wondering who is going to be the starting quarterback for each team. Where will the free agents sign? Who will get traded? Which team is going to gamble in the draft? Here are my predictions for some of the most talked about quarterbacks who are free agents this year.

Aaron Rodgers- Green Bay Packers

Best Bet
GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – JANUARY 01: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers signals to teammates during the second quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field on January 01, 2023, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Kayla Wolf/Getty Images)

This happens every year. Every year it’s “This is Rodgers’s last year in Green Bay, he’s not happy there.” While it might be true that he’s not 100% happy there, he seems to be fine with going back at the end of each offseason. He already signed a mega extension last offseason. Green Bay probably does not want to have to worry about trading that contract and having to pay a bunch of dead cap. So I’d expect Rodgers to be back at training camp

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Lamar Jackson- Baltimore Ravens

Training Camp
PITTSBURGH, PA – DECEMBER 05: Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens in action against the Pittsburgh Steelers on December 5, 2021, at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

It’s simple. Either the Ravens sign Lamar big money and be competitive for the next half-decade, or click the reset button and gamble on a new guy who probably won’t be as good as LaMar. Yes, there is a risk factor for someone who is injury prone. With this being said he wins at a higher rate than almost all quarterbacks in the league. It is understandable why someone would be pessimistic about re-signing him, but Baltimore does not have any better options.

 

Daniel Jones- New York Giants

DFS
NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – OCTOBER 03: Daniel Jones #8 of the New York Giants throws the ball against the New Orleans Saints during a game at the Caesars Superdome on October 03, 2021, in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images)

Jones just had hands down the best season of his career by far. While this would usually warrant a massive extension, the Giants’ front office remains hesitant to sign him to a long-term deal. It seems as if Jones and the Giants are not on the same page regarding where they want to go. All the reports are suggesting Jones wants a 5-year deal but the Giants will not budge Based on most things we are hearing, they will probably slap a franchise tag on him.

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Geno Smith- Seattle Seahawks

NFL
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – OCTOBER 31: Geno Smith #7 of the Seattle Seahawks looks to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter at Lumen Field on October 31, 2021, in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Smith had probably the most surprising season for quarterbacks this year. He threw 30 Touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, and led the league in completion percentage. He probably will not get too big of an extension since he was a backup up until this year, but he for sure deserves to get paid a whole lot for having a great year in Seattle’s first year without Russell Wilson.

 

Derek Carr- New York Jets

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KANSAS CITY, MO – DECEMBER 12: Derek Carr #4 of the Las Vegas Raiders looks for an open receiver during the third quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on December 12, 2021, in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

This is the first prediction of a player signing with a new team, obviously because Carr got cut by Las Vegas. Carr visited the Jets a few weeks ago and it seemed like both sides enjoyed each other. The Jets are in a really good spot now. They have a great defense, a solid run game, and just about an average offensive line. Carr would be the best quarterback the Jets have had in years, and they should sign a guy who has a solid track record rather than gamble in the draft again.

 

Carson Wentz- Jaguars

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INDIANAPOLIS, IN – OCTOBER 17: Carson Wentz #2 of the Indianapolis Colts is seen during the game against the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 17, 2021, in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Wentz just got cut by the Commanders. What a sad story he has had. He was nearly the MVP of the league in 2017, had a pretty decent season in 2019, and then completely collapsed in 2020 and has just been meh ever since. He does not have that big contract attached to him anymore so any team can pick him up, but lots of teams still will not want him because of his decision-making. I think Jacksonville is the perfect spot for him because they will probably need a backup and potentially maximize his potential by reuniting with Doug Peterson.

 

Jimmy G- Patriots

Fantasy Streamers
CINCINNATI, OH – DECEMBER 12: San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) looks to pass during the game against the San Francisco 49ers and the Cincinnati Bengals on December 12, 2021, at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. (Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

This one might be a little far-fetched but it makes the most sense on paper. Bill Belichick loved Jimmy G in his early years and was hoping to be Tom Brady’s replacement. Mac Jones was pretty solid his first year but took a step back last year. If he does not take a huge step this year for the Pats, there will certainly be a lot of questions as to whether he is a franchise quarterback. It is not likely Jimmy G will get a big contract to be the franchise guy, but there are not much better fits with him than his old team

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Baker Mayfield- Raiders

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – DECEMBER 19: Baker Mayfield #17 of the Los Angeles Rams throws a pass against the Green Bay Packers in the second half at Lambeau Field on December 19, 2022, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

The Raiders are in a tough spot. They just lost their franchise quarterback and got nothing in return for him, but their roster is not good enough to pick up a solid guy and compete. They currently own the seventh overall pick for this year’s draft. If they are not sold on any of the quarterbacks in the draft, Mayfield would be a great option. Even though he had some solid moments with Los Angeles in his short stint there, he still has a lot to prove, and this might be a solid situation for him to be in.

 

Conclusion

 

Even though the NFL is not as dramatic as the NBA with the amount of player movement over the offseason, it sure is still entertaining. There is a great chance most of these end up being incorrect, and if that is the case, it will sure be interesting to see how these teams plan with their new QB.

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