Tonight we have a matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Seattle Seahawks. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Geno Smith Over 204.5 Passing Yards (-115)
With Russell Wilson on injured reserve, Smith will get the start again tonight for the Seahawks. In his first start this season, Smith finished with 209 passing yards on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, he threw for 131 passing yards in only the fourth quarter the week before against the Los Angeles Rams. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up an average of 285.2 passing yards per game this season. They have given up 245 or more passing yards in four straight games. While Smith won’t throw for 285 yards tonight, he will finish with at least 230 passing yards against the Saints.
Alvin Kamara Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Kamara has turned into a workhorse back this season, averaging 18.8 rushing attempts per game. More importantly, he has 71 or more rushing yards in four of five games this season, averaging 73.6 rushing yards per game. However, removing the Week 2 matchup against the Carolina Panthers, Kamara has averaged 90.8 rushing yards per game this season. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have given up the fourth-most rushing yards to running backs this season, giving up 121.5 rushing yards per game. More importantly, the Seahawks have allowed 96 or more rushing yards to running backs in fifth straight contests. As the focal point of the Saints’ offense, Kamara should have no trouble rushing for at least 100 yards tonight.
D.K. Metcalf Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Regardless of who is under center for the Seahawks, Metcalf has finished with 53 or more receiving yards in every game this season. He has averaged 73.5 receiving yards per game this season, totaling 65 or more receiving yards in three of his past four games. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up an average of 199.4 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. They have allowed wide receivers to finish with 175 or more receiving yards in four straight games, giving up an average of 210.8 receiving yards per game during that span. Metcalf had a 21.9 percent target share last week against the Steelers and finished with 58 receiving yards. He should have no trouble finishing with over 70 receiving yards in this game.
Jameis Winston Over 200.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Many questions were surrounding Winston entering the season. After averaging only 129 passing yards per game over the first three weeks of the season, Winston has thrown for at least 226 yards in each of the past two games, averaging 252.5 per game in that span. More importantly, Winston is coming off the best game of the season, with 279 passing yards on only 15 completions. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have allowed the fourth-most passing yards this season, giving up 306.2 passing yards per game. More importantly, quarterbacks have finished with at least 229 passing yards in every game against the Seahawks this season. While Winston won’t have over 300 passing yards tonight, he will have at least 226 passing yards for the third game in a row.
Gerald Everett Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
After missing two games on the Covid-19 list, Everett returned last week against the Steelers, finishing with two receptions for 40 receiving yards. More importantly, Everett has averaged 29.3 receiving yards per game, finishing with 20 or more receiving yards in three of four games this season. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up an average of 44.2 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season, giving up at least 27 receiving yards in every game. Furthermore, tight ends have averaged six receptions for 44 receiving yards per game against the Saints over the past three weeks. Everett will hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter, if not sooner.
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