Stream Machine: April 29-May 1
So here’s the deal. I had a bad April. Statistically, it was not great. Not only that, but my process was flawed. To try to come up with early season streaming matchups, I tried to use run projection models from FanGraphs. Unfortunately, those did not account for early hot streaks from teams like the Mariners and Twins. They also didn’t take into account various left vs. right or home vs. away strengths and weaknesses, mostly because those were things that projections just couldn’t account for early on. Also, I had significant flaws in the way that my spreadsheet credited teams for different home/away splits when I did try to account for them. Nevertheless, I’m still here, either as a glutton for punishment or as an attempt at redemption. The first month is the hardest month to try to stream anyway. It can only get better from here, right? RIGHT?!? Anyway, here’s the best matchup plays for the first half of the week.
