Matt Bishop | July 29, 2019
STREAMER OF THE WEEK
Tyler Beede, SP SF
(36% CBS, 7% ESPN, 11% Yahoo)
Tyler Beede’s seasonal stat line leaves much to be desired. Currently pitching to a 4.85 ERA 1.48 WHIP with an 8.6 K/9, he doesn’t really stand out as a highly touted waiver wire add. But since the calendar has turned to July, he seems to be putting it together:
Since July 2 (last 4 starts):
(2 – 1) 2.63 ERA 0.95 WHIP 7.6 K/9 0.7 BB/9
21.3% K 1.8% BB 1.6 HR/9 19.4% K-BB%
On the season, Beede currently has double digit swinging strike rates on 4 out of 5 of his offerings, with two of them cracking the 20% mark. This should not be ignored.
In his last 4 starts, Beede has 10, 12, 12 and 20 swinging strikes respectively. In this time frame and since July 1, his slider has a 22.0% swinging strike rate, which ranks 19th in baseball. His changeup has a 28.8% swinging strike rate, which ranks 2nd in baseball. And his curveball has a 17.9% swinging strike rate, which ranks 16th in MLB.
Since July 1:
Both of Beede’s starts this week will be on the road, at Philadelphia and at Colorado. A start at Coors would turn most fantasy owners off, along with the fact that Beede is pitching to a 5.54 ERA on the road this season. But since July 1 AT HOME, the Rockies rank 28th in wRC+ (72), 17th in wOBA (.325), 17th in OPS (.417) and 20th in hard hit percentage (35.4%). The Rockies are also 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Since July 1 AT HOME, the Phillies rank 21st in wRC+ (92), 20th in wOBA (.311), 20th in OPS (.745) and 22nd in hard hit percentage (34.2%). Beede will face two sputtering offenses this week and should capitalize on the matchups. Look for Beede to put up two solid performances this week.
WEEK 16 RESULTS:
Adrian Sampson, SP TEX
Game One: 5.1 IP 8 H 6 ER 2 BB 4 K (LOSS)
Game Two: 6.0 IP 6 H 5 ER 0 BB 2 K (LOSS)
MUST START
Justin Verlander, SP HOU (@CLE, SEA)
Shane Bieber, SP CLE (HOU, LAA)
Patrick Corbin, SP WAS (ATL, @ARI)
Noah Syndergaard, SP NYM (@CHW, @PIT)
Charlie Morton, SP TB (@BOS, MIA)
Chris Paddack, SP SD (BAL, @LAD)
SAFE START
Dallas Keuchel, SP ATL (@WAS, CIN)
Sonny Gray, SP CIN (PIT, @ATL)
David Price , SP BOS (TB, @NYY)
Yu Darvish, SP CHC (@STL, MIL)
Kenta Maeda, SP LAD (@COL, SD)
Caleb Smith, SP MIA (ARI, @TB)
Jon Gray, SP COL (LAD, SF)
Max Scherzer, SP WAS (ATL, @ARI)
Jake Odorizzi, SP MIN (@MIA, KC)
Julio Teheran, SP ATL (@WAS, CIN)
RISKY START
J.A. Happ, SP NYY (ARI, BOS)
Brad Miller, RP KC (TOR, @MIN)
Merrill Kelly, SP ARI (@MIA, WAS)
Reynaldo Lopez, SP CHW (NYM, @PHI)
Rick Porcello, SP BOS (TB, @NYY)
Mike Leak, SP SEA (@TEX, @HOU)
Tanner Roark, SP CIN (PIT, @ATL)
Tyler Beede, SP (@PHI, @COL)
Vince Velasquez, SP PHI (SF, CHW)
DON’T START
Jordan Lyles, RP PIT (@CIN, NYM)
Jaime Barria, SP LAA (DET, @CLE)
Kyle Freeland, SP COL (LAD, SF)
Jordan Zimmerman, SP DET (@LAA, @TEX)
Thomas Pannone, SP TOR (@KC, @BAL)
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