We’re back! Hopefully, the early slate of games and my advice served you well. So let’s dive into the short four-game slate and see if we can cook up some winners to cap off the day.
Pitching
Dinelson Lamet ($7,300 DK, $7,500 FD)
Lamet is my cash game lock, and I’ll be using him in the majority of my tournament lineups as well. The Arizona Diamondbacks have been downright abysmal. Although they snapped a 17-game losing streak by beating the Milwaukee Brewers on June 21, they’ve lost each of their last three games. They’ve won only four of their last 41 games! Also, the road losing streak is still intact as that number has reached 24 games. YIKES.
Over their last 40 games, the Dbacks have the worst wOBA (.274) and wRC+ (71) in baseball. San Diego’s bullpen was used quite a bit last night. In other words, Lamet might work a bit deeper than usual. He’s mainly a slider/fastball pitcher. With his 27.2 percent strikeout rate, expect some strikeouts.
Other Options: Alex Wood, Frankie Montas, Nathan Eovaldi
Value Hitters
Michael Chavis ($3,000 DK, $2,300 FD)
Chavis will be hitting leadoff for the Boston Red Sox as they take on Jordan Montgomery and the New York Yankees at Fenway Park. The team recalled Chavis on June 24 from Worcester. In over 200 fewer career plate appearances versus left-handed pitching, Chavis has only two fewer home runs than he does against righties (13 to 11). As a result, his ISO jumps nearly 100 points (.240 to .154). Eight of Montgomery’s nine home runs allowed this season have been to right-handed batters, and they are hitting .260 against him. In comparison, lefties are hitting .145. He’ll be highly owned, but I think he’s a safe value option.
Jake Marisnick ($2,000 DK, $2,200 FD)
Marisnick tends to start against most lefties, and for a good reason. He’s hitting .379 with a .454 wOBA and 192 wRC+ versus southpaws this year. Hitting sixth in the Cubs order and put good swings on the ball in last night’s game. Unfortunately, Julio Urias hasn’t been pitching all that great lately. In his past five starts, he owns a 6.31 ERA. That’s good news for Marisnick.
Spend Up Hitters: Jake Cronenworth, Fernando Tatis Jr., J.D. Martinez, Max Muncy
Stacks
I’m more inclined to use mini-stacks than four or five-man stacks on short four-game slates such as this one.
San Diego Padres
The Dads are chalky, but it’s tough to see them failing right now. Cronenworth, Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and Trent Grisham are my favorite options. Merrill Kelly’s average fastball sits only 91.7 MPH. His 5.06 ERA and below-average hard-hit rate allowed isn’t a recipe for success tonight. One of these days, when I predict him to implode in an article, it has to happen, right?
Los Angeles Dodgers
Alec Mills isn’t a gas can pitcher, but if he isn’t pinpoint with his accuracy, this Dodgers lineup could pummel him. Mills has been much better against RHBs (.255 wOBA) than LHBs (.378 wOBA) in his career. Surprisingly, Cody Bellinger isn’t in the lineup. He would’ve been my favorite option, especially considering his price. However, Max Muncy, Zach McKinstry, and Gavin Lux will have to do. Those are my favorite solo options, but you can stack any of the Dodgers hitters.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are my contrarian stack of the night. Call me a homer. Call me whatever you want. The fact of the matter is, they have power bats in their lineup and have been good against left-handed pitching this season with a 102 wRC+ compared to a 92 wRC+ against righties. Also, as aforementioned, Urias has struggled lately. In his last five starts, he has a 6.31 ERA while opposing hitters are batting .317 with eight doubles and six home runs. Given how low their ownership should be, I might even consider some four-man Cubs stacks.
Good luck, and let’s make some money.
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