Another week begins, fellow MLB DFS degenerates. We have nine games on tonight’s 7:05pm EDT slate in MLB DFS, and it’s going to come with a few gambles. The goal is not to duplicate lineups with the masses, so let’s try to stand out from the crowd. The pitching tonight is especially interesting. Many of the names at the top have some curious matchups, and value is the name of the game. Therefore, I’m looking a little further down the list of hurlers to play some percentages. We are going to find value on the mound and wielding the lumber before filling out the lineup with a couple big bats to bring it home. As always, I’ll list the featured values first, and then give a pick at each remaining position afterwards.
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***All prices listed are from DraftKings***
Value on the Hill
Martin Perez – at Kansas City ($8,900)
In 14 games this season, the 31-year-old Perez has allowed more than one run just four times. Two of those came in his first two starts of the season, when every pitcher was struggling. Aside from one disastrous start on June 11 (six earned runs, “ballooning” his ERA to 2.18), he’s been remarkably consistent. Perez bounced back from that start with a seven-inning, one run performance against lowly Detroit and six innings of shutout ball against the Phillies. He’ll toe the slab against a Royals team that does not strike out often, but is 27th in average runs per game. Perez is not going to hit double-digits in punchouts but should dominate the Kansas City lineup. He’ll come into the game backpacking a 5-2 record with a 1.96 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Five of his 14 starts have seen the opponent kept off the scoreboard while he was on the bump.
Best Pairing: George Kirby – vs Baltimore ($7,100)
Second verse, same as the first. Kirby gets a favorable matchup with the Orioles, who also have had their fair share of troubles putting crooked numbers on the board. Baltimore has the fourth-most strikeouts/game in 2022 at 9.09 and Kirby is fanning 8.6/9 on the season. $7.1K is great value for the rookie in a game he should cruise through.
Value in the Field
Jesus Sanchez, OF – at St. Louis ($3,300)
In his last seven contests, Sanchez is batting an uninspiring .250, but two of his six hits left the yard. He also walked twice, swiped a base and driven in four in that stretch. The outfielder has the talent, and although he appears to often be a boom/bust candidate, you can do worse for the price point tonight. This is a nice spot to save a few bucks. Tonight the lefty swinger taps the plate against 40-year-old Adam Wainwright, who comes in with a 5-5 record. During the month of June, the Cards’ pitcher has allowed 13 runs in 25 innings with a WHIP north of 1.50. I’m expecting the Marlins to put some runs up against him, with Sanchez likely batting from the sixth spot in the lineup.
Alejandro Kirk, C – vs Boston ($4,100)
Unless you want to spend $1,400 more for Will Smith hitting in Colorado, the options at backstop tonight aren’t exactly thrilling. For the record, who do these guys think they are pricing up Gary Sanchez every day? But, I digress. Kirk has four moonshots with the boomstick in his last five games while going 9-for-20. On the season, he’s slashing .322/.409/.523 (that’s a .923 OPS for you math wizards out there) with 10 ding-dongs with 35 runs scored and 31 RBI. To be completely honest, he’s likely the best catcher on the slate and $4.1K smackers is a bargain. Boston will trot out rookie Connor Seabold, who was excellent in Triple-A (5-1, 2.09 ERA) but got off to a rough start in the majors. He’s made one start, going three innings while coughing up a homer and two earned runs with zero strikeouts.
Oneil Cruz, SS – at Washington ($3,800)
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. Cruz has too much upside to be priced below four grand, so as long as he is, I’m using him in more situations. His ability to stuff the stat sheet in every category makes him incredibly valuable in DFS. In his short time up, the native of the Dominican Republic is batting .250 with three two-baggers, four runs scored, seven runs batted in, and a stolen base in seven games (six starts). He’s still looking for his first homer of 2022 at the major league level, but he has too much power to be kept down for long. He’ll get Nationals righthander Erick Fedde, 5-5 with a 4.46 ERA and a sore 1.47 WHIP. He blanked the Orioles last time out, but in his four prior starts totaled just 17 innings while allowing 26 hits, nine walks, and a whopping 16 runs. Opponents BAbip was .387 during the stretch and Fedde has a 6.26 ERA in his last five games total. I’m liking Pittsburgh batters tonight.
Good savings, and quality pitchers at low prices allows significant money to spread around on your other favorites. Below are my preferred picks for tonight at the rest of the positions.
Other favorite plays: Josh Bell (1B – WAS), Brendan Donovan (2B – STL), Jon Berti (3B – MIA), Jack Suwinski (OF – PIT), Mike Trout (OF – LAA)
Best of luck in all of your contests tonight. There’s plenty of cash to go around in creating some solid lineups, so it should be a fun night for baseball.
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