We are creeping towards the weekend, my MLB DFS brothers and sisters. We have had a good run of late with out picks, but the work is not done. Let’s pad that bankroll headed into what should be a fun Saturday and Sunday for gambling. We start here with modest six-game slate beginning at 7:05pm EDT.
As usual, I’m going to drop some hard-core values, both on the bump and at the dish. After all that at, you’ll find my favorite heavy-hitters in the Stud Finder, which I use to fill out my lineups after I’ve taken advantage of the values available. It’s important to nab some of these value picks. If they hit, you will run away from the competition. The big boppers will heavily rostered, so the value is where it’s at. Don’t get me wrong, some of the studs listed at the end may be a surprise and can certainly win a contest.
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***All prices listed are from DraftKings***
Value on the Hill
Jameson Taillon – vs Los Angeles Angels ($9,300)
At first glance, $9,300 does not seem like value. It’s important to recognize what the slate has to offer (hint: not many good pitchers), and what your opponent will utilize. Taillon stands to be heavily rostered in DFS leagues. Normally, that would suggest you should pivot away. However, when there are only six games, you need to you need to keep up with your adversaries. There is a reason Taillon is as expensive as he is. After all, Taillon has won five of his last seven starts. Once known as a strikeout threat, he eased up on the need to sit down guys via the K. Now all of a sudden the former Pirate is slaying batters with groundouts. Taillon had a miniscule 0.25 WHIP in his last start against Tampa Bay, when he coasted through eight innings. He is one of the hottest pitchers in the majors currently, and sports a 2.49 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Keep in mind, he’s done this at Yankee Stadium. That’s no small feat for a pitcher that used to rely on the fastball.
Jordan Lyles – vs Seattle ($6,700)
Big gamble here, but one I like. Lyles drags a 4.26 ERA into the contest and is saddled with a 1.42 WHIP. White that said, he has also eclipsed the six-inning mark, and twice got into the seventh, as well. Those were four different starts. Lyles gets a matchup with underrated Chris Flexen, but the Seattle Mariners score an ugly 3.43 runs/game on the road. For the money, this is a sneaky-good draft pick, It’s fair to guess Lyles equal best his 2022 average of 8.1 K/9 and likely record a dub.. He had a rough outing against the Red Sox, but whiffed 16 total batters in back-to-back starts against the Yankees prior; no easy feat.
Value in the Field
Brendan Rodgers, 2B – vs Atlanta ($3,900)
This is the best value on the slate. Rodger has been a DFS darling of late since he finally started hitting, On top of that, the dude frush three moonshots with the boomstick last night, while also tallying four runs batted in and crossing the plate four times. It’s DFS, so riding the hot hand is always a good bet. The infielder has 24 hits in his last 26 games and costs les than $4K. Not really sure what else to say. Even if it’s a loss, it’s still a pretty good bet,
Harrison Bader, OF – at Chicago Cubs ($2,900)
I may not normally be inclined to gamble on a guy who has been sick, but at this price, how can you not? Bader appears to be felling better, and was a sexy pick to go off this season. He still could, and his 13 hits in 14 games could signal a turnaround. Once again, you ride the hot hand in daily fantasy, and Bader might be starting to prove some prognosticators right. His OPS sits at a surprising .653, but Bader is hard to bet against especially in a potent St. Louis lineup. The only way for Bader to go is up, and that means good things for a DFS team looking for an inexpensive gamble.
Austin Hays, OF – vs Seattle ($3,700)
Ding Ding Ding! We hit the “three value picks under $4K a pop” threshold again! Hays presents a great value, and one of my favorites on this slate after Rodgers. The Orioles outfielder has been quietly productive in 2022, He’s backpacking the weight of an excellent .299/.372/.454 triple-slash (that equals an OPS of .826 for all you math wizards out there) with twins-y RBIs and runs scored at 23. Hays is right on pace with his career best in home runs, but it’s worth noting that he drew 28 walks in all of 2021 (131 games) and already has 18 in 2022. With patience comes opportunity. You don’t have to tell me twice.
Stud Finder: Travis d’Arnaud (C – ATL), Paul Goldschmidt (1B – STL), Austin Riley (3B – ATL), Taylor Ward (OF – LAA)
Best of luck with all of your contests tonight. Let’s pack that wallet with the big bills.
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