Week 14 is the first round of playoffs for most leagues. For those that made it to this point, let’s analyze some players that could boom or bust this week, while also looking into players with very safe floors.
Boom
Montgomery has been on a roll lately, scoring 25-plus PPR points in back-to-back games. This week, he’ll take on the second-worst run defense in the league in Houston. The Texans are allowing a whopping 150.9 rushing yards per game to opponents. It’s safe to assume that the Bears will rely on the run to beat Houston, so Montgomery has legitimate boom potential.
Speaking of players who are on a roll, Davis exploded last weekend against the Browns, racking up 11 catches for 182 yards and a touchdown. He has now scored at least 10 PPR points in every game except one this year. This week, he’s primed to face a bottom-four pass defense in Jacksonville. Fire Davis up as a WR2 with massive upside.
Tonyan has now scored a touchdown in three straight games. This week, he’ll line up against an atrocious Lions secondary. Anyone catching passes from Aaron Rodgers has massive upside, especially someone seeing multiple targets per game. The current TE4 (PPR) has as much upside as anyone at his position in Week 14.
Bust
Drake salvaged his poor performance last game against the Rams by finding paydirt once. This week, he’ll take on a surprisingly stout Giants’ defense that just upset the Seattle Seahawks. Kyler Murray and company will likely have to look to the air early and often to win this game, so stay away from Drake this week.
Woods has been playing very well as of late, but this week he’ll have reigning DPOY Stephon Gilmore lining up against him. Gilmore held Keenan Allen to 9.8 PPR points and DeAndre Hopkins to 10.5 in his last two games. As a result, you should greatly temper expectations for “Bobby Trees” on Thursday.
After appearing to find his form in the middle of the season, Hurst has struggled as of late. The Falcons tight end has failed to score over 10 PPR points in each of his last three games. This week, he’s set to face a top-five pass defense in the Chargers. There are better options at tight end, so keep Hurst stashed on your bench.
Safe Floor
Robinson has had an incredibly impressive season. The undrafted rookie has handled 212 carries so far — third in the NFL behind Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook — and has not scored less than 10 PPR points in a game to this point. As a result, there aren’t many players with safer floors than Robinson this week against an average (at best) Titans run defense.
Keenan Allen
As mentioned earlier, Allen struggled last week against the Patriots. Don’t hold that against him though, as virtually everyone has a hard time against Gilmore. This week, things will get easier for Allen, who currently leads the NFL in targets. The veteran receiver is set to face an awful Falcons secondary which is currently allowing 285 passing yards per game. He is probably the safest WR1 in Week 14.
Hockenson has emerged as Matthew Stafford’s most reliable weapon this year. The sophomore tight end has seen at least seven targets in four of his last five games, setting him up nicely to produce against an average Packers secondary. Aside from guys like Travis Kelce and Darren Waller, Hockenson is as safe a tight end play as it gets this week.
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