Tonight we have a battle of two of the best teams in the AFC as the 11-1 Pittsburgh Steelers head to upper New York to take on the 9-3 Buffalo Bills. Both teams played on Monday night last week, with the Steelers suffering their first defeat of the season, losing 23-17 to the Washington Football team in the first game of the night. Following that was the Bills defeating the San Francisco 49ers 34-24. Both these teams feature explosive offenses, making this game potentially one of the best this season.
The team’s fan base and fantasy football players will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention. For gamblers, their only rooting interest is whatever will lead to money in their pocket. However, which bets should they place? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Ben Roethlisberger Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-172)
I’ve hammered this prop every week and will continue to do so till Big Ben lets us down. He has thrown two or more passing touchdowns in all but two games this season, averaging 2.3 per game. Meanwhile, the Bills have struggled to slow down quarterbacks, giving up two or more passing touchdowns in over half their games this season. Last week the Bills gave up three passing touchdowns to Nick Mullens and his limited weapons. Just imagine how many Big Ben can throw with all his elite receivers.
Stefon Diggs Over 5.5 Receptions (-145)
The addition of Diggs in the offseason has helped Josh Allen take the next step in his development. He has given Allen a wide receiver he can trust and go to no matter the situation. Diggs has been a catching machine this season, averaging 7.5 receptions per game, recording six or more in all but one game. Furthermore, over his last four games, Diggs is averaging nine receptions on 10.3 targets per game. Starting cornerback Joe Haden will miss this game for the Steelers due to a concussion, giving Diggs a big advantage against the rest of the cornerbacks. Expect Diggs to keep up his 10.3 targets per game average over the last four games tonight against a depleted Steelers cornerback group.
James Conner Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-134)
After missing the last two games because of Covid-19, Conner is off the list and ready to go for tonight’s game. Before landing on the Covid-19 list, Conner was coming off a 13 rushing attempt for 89 rushing yards game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. It was the seventh time in his last eight games that Conner had 13 or more rushing attempts. Furthermore, he is averaging 14.5 rushing attempts per game this season. Meanwhile, the Bills have struggled against the run lately, and teams are taking advantage of it. Over the bills’ last eight games, opposing teams’ running backs have averaged 24 rushing attempts per game, recording at least 20 in all but one game. Expect a big game from Conner.
Dawson Knox Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Knox has been quiet this season with 13 receptions for 138 receiving yards. However, he had his best game of the season last week against the 49ers with four receptions for 27 receiving yards and a touchdown for the second week in a row. Meanwhile, the Steelers will be without linebacker Robert Spillane for tonight’s game and got destroyed by Logan Thomas last week. Thomas had a season-high nine receptions on nine targets for 98 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. With John Brown on injured reserve, Allen has turned more to Knox recently, and he should have no trouble finishing the game with 24 or more receiving yards.
Eric Ebron Over 3.5 Receptions (-150)
Over the last three weeks, Ebron has become a critical part of the Steelers’ passing attack, averaging six receptions on 9.7 targets per game. Furthermore, Ebron is averaging 4.1 receptions per game this season, recording four or more in seven of his last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Bills have struggled to slow down tight ends this season, giving up an average of 6.1 receptions per game to the position. They have given up four or more receptions to tight ends in four straight games, giving up an average of 6.5 per game. With teams focused on stopping the Steelers’ excellent trio of wide receivers, Ebron has taken advantage of the extra targets and should do so once again tonight.
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