Tonight we have a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Darren Waller & Travis Kelce Combine for Over 149.5 Receiving Yards (+110)
Usually, the weekly specials aren’t great to bet. However, we have arguably the two best tight ends in the NFL playing in this game. Kelce has averaged 69.8 receiving yards per game, while Waller has averaged 67.1 receiving yards per game this season. The duo has combined to average 136.9 receiving yards per game. Meanwhile, both the Chiefs and Raiders have struggled to slow down tight ends this season. Both teams are in the bottom eight of the NFL in receiving yards given up to tight ends, giving up a combined 135.5 receiving yards per game. Don’t be surprised if both finish with over 100 receiving yards in this game.
Darrel Williams Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
With Clyde Edwards-Helaire likely on the bench again this week, Williams will lead the Chiefs backfield tonight. In the four games as the starter this season, Williams has averaged 14.5 rushing attempts and 50.3 rushing yards per game. He rushed for at least 49 yards in three of those four games, including a season-high 70 rushing yards last week. Meanwhile, the Raiders have given up an average of 103.4 rushing yards per game to running backs this season. They have given up an average of 118.8 rushing yards per game over the past five games, giving up over 100 in four of those games. While Williams won’t have 118 rushing yards tonight, he will finish this game with at least 70 rushing yards.
Hunter Renfrow Over 5.5 Receptions (-125)
Not only does Renfrow lead the Raiders in receptions this season with 45, but he also has 20 receptions that resulted in a first down. More importantly, Renfrow has averaged 5.6 receptions per game this season. He has at five receptions in all but one game this season, including six or more in four of the past five games. In the first game this season without Henry Ruggs, Renfrow led the team with seven receptions. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have held wide receivers to only 10.9 receptions per game this season. However, they have given up at least 12 receptions in each of the past three games despite facing below-average quarterbacks. Renfrow will have no trouble finishing tonight’s game with at least six receptions.
Derek Carr Over 289.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Carr is third in the NFL with 2,565 passing yards, averaging 320.6 passing yards per game. He has thrown for at least 295 yards in all but two games this season, including three straight. Furthermore, Carr has more games this season with over 380 passing yards (three) than games with under 290 passing yards (two). Meanwhile, the Chiefs have given up the sixth-most passing yards to quarterbacks entering Week 10. They have given up an average of 267.4 passing yards per game, giving up at least 315 passing yards in a third of their games this season. This game should be a pass-heavy matchup, making it easy for Carr to hit the over on this prop bet.
Patrick Mahomes Under 285.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The 2021 season has been far from ideal for Mahomes. After averaging an NFL high 316 passing yards per game last season, Mahomes is averaging only 281.6 passing yards per game this season, a career-low for him as a starter. He has thrown for under 280 yards in all but three games this season, including in six of the past seven games. Meanwhile, the Raiders have held quarterbacks to only 220.8 passing yards per game this season, the fourth-fewest in the NFL. They have held quarterbacks to under 290 passing yards in all but two games this season. Furthermore, they have held quarterbacks to under 120 passing yards in two of their past four games. Expect Mahomes to keep up his passing struggles tonight.
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