Tonight we have a matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Justin Fields Over 225.5 Passing and Rushing Yards (-115)
After missing the past 2.5 games with a rib injury, Fields will start for the Bears tonight. In the four games before the injury, Fields had played the best football of his career. He averaged 206 passing yards per game during that span, throwing for at least 174 in every contest. Fields also had at least 38 rushing yards in all four games. More importantly, he averaged 307 passing and rushing yards per game over the final two games before getting hurt. Meanwhile, the Packers have allowed quarterbacks to average 237.8 passing yards per game this season. In the Week 6 matchup against the Packers, Fields had 217 passing and rushing yards. He will have no trouble totaling over 225.5 passing and rushing yards tonight.
Davante Adams Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While Adams has only five receiving touchdowns this season, the veteran wide receiver has still dominated opposing secondaries. He is averaging a career-high 98.5 receiving yards per game this season. Adams is also third in the NFL in total receiving yards with 1,083. Meanwhile, the Bears have allowed wide receivers to average 162.8 receiving yards per game against them this season. In the matchup earlier this season, Adams had 89 receiving yards on a season-low five targets. Since that contest, Adams has averaged 10.5 targets per game, totaling over 100 receiving yards in nearly half of those games. Adams is arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL. He is more likely to have over 200 receiving yards tonight than have under 89 receiving yards.
Darnell Mooney Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)
The sophomore wide receiver has stepped up this season, averaging 4.3 receptions per game. While Allen Robinson will play tonight, Mooney is still the Bears’ No. 1 wide receiver. In the three games Robinson missed, Mooney averaged five receptions per game. By comparison, he averaged four receptions per game with Robinson in the lineup. Meanwhile, wide receivers have averaged almost 12 receptions per game against the Packers this season. Furthermore, the Packers have given up an average of 16.5 receptions per game to wide receivers over the past two games. In the matchup earlier this season, Mooney led the team in targets with eight. More importantly, he caught five of them. With Jaire Alexander still out of the lineup, Mooney could hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Aaron Jones Over 86.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)
Jones has been a critical part of the Green Bay offense the past few years. While AJ Dillon also has a role on offense this season, Jones is still the lead back. He has averaged 78.4 scrimmage yards per game this season, totaling at least 86 scrimmage yards in 63.6 percent of the games. More importantly, Jones has averaged 17 touches and 90.8 scrimmage yards per game over the past nine games before suffering a knee injury. Three weeks removed from the knee injury, Jones is 100 percent ready for tonight. Meanwhile, the Bears have allowed running backs to average 100.5 rushing yards and 32.7 receiving yards per game against them this season. In the Week 6 matchup, Jones had 110 scrimmage yards. Expect a similar outcome in tonight’s game.
David Montgomery Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Despite dealing with multiple injuries lately, Montgomery is off the injury report and is 100 percent ready for tonight’s critical matchup. Montgomery has averaged 70.8 rushing yards per game this season, totaling 61 or more rushing yards in 62.5 percent of the games. He also has three games this season with 90 or more rushing yards, including last week. Meanwhile, the Packers have allowed running backs to average 75.2 rushing yards against them this season. While Montgomery missed the matchup earlier this season against the Packers, his replacement, sixth-round rookie Khalil Herbert, had 97 rushing yards on 19 rushing attempts. Montgomery is a critical part of the Chicago offense. He should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
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