Tonight we have a matchup between the New York Giants and the Kansas City Chiefs. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Darrel Williams Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)
With Clyde Edwards-Helaire on injured reserve, Williams has stepped up as the starting running back for the Chiefs. In the two games as the starter, Williams has averaged 16 touches per game. More importantly, Williams has four or more targets in three straight games, catching three in each game. Meanwhile, the Giants have given up an average of 5.6 receptions per game to running backs this season. They have given up four or more receptions to running backs in all but one game. Furthermore, running backs have finished with five or more receptions in over half their games against the Giants this season. Williams should hit the over on this prop bet before the start of the fourth quarter.
Daniel Jones Over 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Despite several injuries to his supporting cast, Jones is having the best season of his career. Not only is he posting career-highs in interception rate, passing yards per game, and passing yards per attempt, Jones has picked up his play on the ground as well. He is averaging a career-high 5.9 rushing attempts and 32.7 rushing yards per game this season. More importantly, Jones has rushed for at least 27 yards in over 70 percent of his games this season. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have given up the most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, giving up 34.4 per game. They have given up over 45 rushing yards to quarterbacks in almost half their games this season. Jones should have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Mecole Hardman Over 3.5 Receptions (-120)
While Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are the stars of the passing attack, Hardman plays a critical role. He has averaged a career-high 4.3 receptions per game this season. By comparison, Hardman averaged 2.1 receptions per game over the first two years of his career. He has finished with four or more receptions in over half his games this season. More importantly, Hardman has averaged 5.7 receptions on 7.3 targets per game over the past three weeks. Meanwhile, the Giants have given up the seventh-most receptions to wide receivers this season, giving up 13.4 per game. With the Giants focused on Hill and Kelce, expect Patrick Mahomes to look Hardman’s way plenty tonight.
Devontae Booker Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Since taking over for the injured Saquon Barkley, Booker has averaged 46 rushing yards on 13 rushing attempts per game. However, Booker has rushed for 41 or more yards in three straight games against three tough run defenses. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have been anything but difficult to run against this season. They have given up an average of 87.3 rushing yards per game to running backs this season, giving up 58 or more rushing yards in over 70 percent of their games. Furthermore, the Chiefs have given up an average of 93.5 rushing yards per game to running backs over the past two weeks. The best way to keep Mahomes off the field is by running the ball. Booker should have his best performance of the year this week.
Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interceptions (+130)
As talented as he is, Mahomes has struggled to hold onto the ball this season. After throwing only 11 interceptions over the past two seasons combined, Mahomes has thrown nine this year. His nine interceptions tie for the league-high with Zach Wilson. More importantly, Mahomes has thrown at least one interception in six straight games, averaging 1.5 interceptions per game during that span. Over the last three weeks, Mahomes has thrown five interceptions despite facing some struggling defenses. Meanwhile, the Giants have six interceptions this season, picking off the quarterback at least once in four straight games. More importantly, they have forced three interceptions over the past two weeks. Mahomes is more likely to finish tonight’s game with two interceptions than none at all.
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