Tonight we have a matchup between two teams currently sitting in second place in their respective divisions as the 6-3 Los Angeles Rams head east to take on the 7-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Even more importantly, the winner of this game will have the advantage come playoff time for the top Wild Card seed. As the top Wild Card seed, they will face the “winner” of the NFC East division. With that in mind, expect both teams to come out focused in hopes of getting the win.
Hopefully, you were able to read my favorite prop bet from every game this weekend before the games kicked off. If not, you have a chance to make some money on tonight’s game. However, which bets should you place? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Tom Brady Under 300.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Brady has played well at times this season, but it always hasn’t translated into passing yards. While he has 23 passing touchdowns this season and is averaging 274 passing yards per game, Brady has thrown for more than 300 passing yards only three times. Brady had those games against three awful pass defenses in the Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas Raiders, and Carolina Panthers. Meanwhile, the Rams are giving up an average of only 221 passing yards per game and have held quarterbacks under 300 passing yards in all but one game this season. Tonight’s game will be more of a defensive battle than most think, and Brady will struggle to throw for more than 270 yards, let alone 300.
Darrell Henderson to Score an Anytime Touchdown (+140)
The Rams’ backfield has been at least a two-headed monster all season long as Henderson and Malcolm Brown have both seen plenty of work this year. Henderson has scored five total touchdowns this season, four of which on the ground, including one last week against the Seattle Seahawks. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have done a good job stopping the run, holding running backs to only three yards per attempt this season. However, they have given up seven rushing touchdowns to the position, including at least one in four of their last six games. Henderson is the favorite running Rams running back to score tonight, and at +140, it’s a good value.
Mike Evans Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
After struggling to put together back-to-back good games, Evans has three straight games with 55 or more receiving yards, scoring in two of those contests. Evans is averaging eight targets per game during that span but likely won’t see that many tonight. Jalen Ramsey has taken the best wide receivers in the league and made them disappear this season. Last week, Ramsey held D.K. Metcalf to two receptions on four targets for 28 receiving yards. Furthermore, despite playing with Brady, Evans has only four games this season with 56 or more receiving yards. Expect Brady to look elsewhere tonight with Ramsey covering Evans.
Jared Goff Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+142)
Over the last two weeks, Goff has a total of one passing touchdown. Despite facing an awful Seahawks’ secondary last week, Goff failed to throw a touchdown pass even though he threw the ball 37 times. Goff is averaging 1.4 passing touchdowns per game and has thrown one or fewer about half his games this season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 1.7 passing touchdowns per game and have held quarterbacks under two passing touchdowns in 40 percent of their games this year. The Rams have found success running the ball and playing defense this season, and there is little reason to believe Goff breaks out of his slump tonight.
Antonio Brown Over 4.5 Receptions (-165)
In the two games Brown has played this season, he is second on the team with 13 targets. The only player with more targets during that span is Evans with 17. However, Evans will draw Jalen Ramsey tonight, forcing Brady to look elsewhere. Brown’s eight targets last week were the fourth-highest any Buccaneers player has seen this season. More importantly, Brown is sure-handed, catching seven of the eight targets last week. With Evans taken away by Ramsey and Chris Godwin still battling through an injury, Brown should be Brady’s favorite target once again this week.
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