Hello and welcome back to the gambling corner. It has been a minute since we have given out some picks. We are in the dog-days of the baseball season and to be honest, you can only gamble on so many baseball games before you need a little break. So, let’s get back on track and have ourselves a good day.
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You are going to find out that the board is not very good tonight so there will only be three picks. However, in my research of today’s slate, there is one thing that stands out, and that is the pitching.
A’s -1.5 (-110) vs Indians
While the Indians have been playing some good baseball lately, even if the results are not great, they will be sending out Eli Morgan to face a very competent Oakland lineup. On the season, Morgan has a 6.09 ERA with a WHIP of 1.263. If those numbers confuse you, they are not good.
While this isn’t necessarily a slight on Morgan as he was trusted into an impossible situation, things are not going well when he is on the mound. On top of that, the A’s are one of the best ATS teams on the road with a 33-21 record. Also, Chris Bassitt in his last two games has given up one earned run in 14.0 IP. In this game, we are focusing on the pitching matchups, and the A’s have a significant advantage.
Yankees vs White Sox -1.5 (+115)
You probably thought that there wouldn’t be a pick for the ‘Field Of Dreams” game. Well, here you go.
While the best philosophy for gambling on baseball is to not chase the big payday, at +115 value, you have to take a chance. Especially considering how great the White Sox are.
Now, because this game is being played in an Iowa cornfield, home-road splits are immediately tossed out the window. Much like my previous pick, we will be looking at the pitching matchups. The White Sox will be sending out Lance Lynn who has given up four-earned in his last 17.0 IP. On the season, Lynn holds a 2.10 ERA and with the Yankees’ middle-of-the-road offense, the White Sox have the upper hand.
Nationals vs Mets O/7 (EVEN)
This is a great return if you consider that the over is 9-1 in the Nationals’ last 10 games. On top of that, the over is 4-1 in the Nationals’ last five road games and are averaging just a tick under five runs on the road. That leaves us two more runs before a push. Once again, we are looking at some great value here considering we are playing with a hot Nationals lineup.
We also have to factor in that both starting pitchers. If you haven’t caught on, the theme tonight is to take advantage of the pitching matchups. For the Nationals, Erick Fedde has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three appearances. The Mets will be sending out Marcus Stroman, who is having a fine year statistically but is 0-3 in his last three starts, giving up eight earned runs.
Also, the over hit last night as the Mets won 8-7, so maybe this is a start of an offensive explosion?
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