Welcome, my little ghouls and goblins, to a very spooky edition of NFL best bets in the Daily Dollar. This Sunday is an extra special one, because Vegas has installed some scary lines to take advantage of on this Halloween. There are no tricks, only treats. Ring the doorbell, hold out your pumpkin pails and get handed cold, hard cash. Don’t ghost on these picks because the blowouts will haunt you. Let’s get right into it.
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Buffalo Bills -14 (-110) vs Miami Dolphins
Oh, Miami. Losers of six straight and looking completely lost, they are walking into lakeside cabin where Jason Voorhees (in the guise of the Bills) lies in wait. It’s rare that I take a 14-point spread for a favorite, but I think we have a stabbing chance at a 40-point victory in Buffalo. Keep in mind this same team already diced up the ‘Fins 35-0 in Week 2. Since then, they’ve been consistent (sixth in total offensive yards) and Miami has only gotten worse. The Bills’ defense is severely underrated, they’re coming off a 34-31 heartbreaker to the Titans, and they’ve had nearly two weeks to think about it. This divisional matchup will be a bloodbath, with Josh Allen running wild.
Book it: Bills -14 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals -11 (-110) at New York Jets
My first two picks are favored by a combined 25 points, which is downright frightening. With that said, these are not your father’s Bengals. While their first half offensive play calls have been extremely conservative, in the second half of games they stomp the gas pedal like there’s a congregation of zombies in front of the car. The Jets will start household name Mike White at quarterback, and once he’s dragged into an early grave we’ll be treated to ever-bland Joe Flacco. Unfortunately for him, he holds a 7-7 record against the Bengals with a 13 touchdown/18 interception history. The Bengals’ defense is very good this season. Regardless of who is under center for New York, it will be a Nightmare on MetLife Stadium Drive.
Book it: Bengals -11 (-110)
Los Angeles Rams -16 (-110) at Houston Texans
I’m not even going to whisper about this one. The Texans need an exorcism.
Book it: Rams -16 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-110) at Detroit Lions
You paid for the entire seat, but you’ll only need the edge. My only non-blowout pick this week features two teams that are absolutely confounding. Each have specialized in garbage-time scoring, but the Candyman here is Jalen Hurts. Detroit has shown little defense to speak of, aside from a pair of games where they only surrendered 19 points each. In most of their contests, the opponent says, “Want to play a game?” and toys with the Lions while killing clock along the way. It won’t be that way this time. The Eagles are in desperate need of a laugher and will get it, cackling all the way to the end. The Lions are bad. Really bad. Philadelphia wins a game that’s not exactly a Thriller.
Book it: Eagles -3.5 (-110)
I’m not Psycho for choosing such large spreads this week. Anything can happen on October 31, so don’t Scream. Lay down those bets and lets see if we come out on the other side Shining. Good luck today, enjoy yourselves, and let’s pad that bankroll again. Happy Halloween!
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Main Image designed by Jeremy Guerin @jeremycguerin