Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends. The Denver Nuggets put a blemish on our card of best bets on Monday, but we added another three winners to our wallet. Here’s hoping you came along for that NHL parlay and reaped the spoils. We’re back at it again today with a pair of good MLB and NBA bets to play along with. Let’s keep the winning ways alive and muster up a few more dollar bills.
You can find more of Sam’s Weekly Wagers here.
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NBA: Brooklyn Nets at Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5, -110), 7:30 p.m. EDT (ESPN)
We’ll call this a gut pick, and it’s not exactly going out on a limb. The Nets may be the most talented team in the playoffs (even without James Harden) and might be well on their way to the championship. However, I simply cannot see a sweep happening, so Milwaukee needs this Game 3 to keep pace. With the Bucks having their backs against the proverbial wall, they will come out with a defensive-minded approach and land a few haymakers in the process.
The Bucks cover often when favored (including four of their last five contests), and a 6-1 record at home against road winners jumps right off the page. This is the game that they need to get back into the series and the conversation. Lay those points and let the home team reward you.
Book it: Bucks -3.5 (-110)
MLB: Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins (-1.5, -110), 7:10 p.m. EDT
Let’s stick with what got us here to begin with, and that’s riding the coattails of the far better pitcher. In this case, that’s Trevor Rogers. The Marlins southpaw is sitting on a 6-3 record with a 1.97 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP and has a whopping 81 strikeouts over 61.2 innings in 2021. He’s been remarkably consistent, having only surrendered more than two runs in one start this season (three runs against the Nationals back on May 2).
He’ll toe the rubber against a Rockies team that is woefully inept at scoring on the road and has won away from Coors field just five times in 28 tries this year. Woof. They’ll trot out Chi Chi Gonzalez (4.84 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) who has just 25 Ks in 48.1 innings of work. The only thing higher than his walk rate is his opponents’ barrel percentage, which means Miami will come out swinging.
Speaking of coming out swinging, we’ll do that too. No need to risk the -235 money line when I expect a comfortable win for the Marlins. We’ll take the run line at a much better value.
Book it: Miami -1.5 runs (-110)
Let’s add these two to our winnings tonight and keep padding that wallet for (another) rainy day. Best of luck on all your ventures today.
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