Week 4 DFS Values

Kevin Walsh | September 27th, 2019

Last week was interesting, to say the least. It wasn’t a good week, but it wasn’t a terrible week. We can look forward to there not being any obvious and ridiculously cheap chalk such as Nelson Agholor, and we are getting to the point in the season where some occurrences are less random and skill takes over.

With that said, let’s get to the cheap looks for this week.


Case Keenum ($4,900 DK, $7,200 FD)

I know how this looks, and I know what you are all thinking – man does Keenum suck. I cannot quash that feeling. What I can tell you is that this game should be a firestorm of fantasy points, and somehow the Giants are likely the ones to be ahead. When the Redskins are down big, they start throwing every down. Keenum has 933 yards passing in three games so far, and I expect it to continue against a poor Giants secondary.

Daniel Jones ($5,300 DK, $7,300 FD)

On the other side of this game is everyone’s new toy, Danny Dimes. While I like the play, I think it will hinge on if Washington can keep up, and if they can stuff Wayne Gallman well enough to keep the Giants throwing the ball. This is another plus matchup for Jones, and he should be able to get something going again this week.

Don’t Forget About: Jacoby Brissett, Matthew Stafford

Running Back

Chris Thompson ($4,500 DK, $5,900 FD)

Continuing with the Dallas/Washington vibe, Thompson is a PPR machine, especially in garbage time. Keenum has been dumping the ball off to him with decent efficiency, and with Guice out for the year, they can’t trust Adrian Peterson to be leaned on every week. He already has 19 targets and they should continue to flow this week.

Wayne Gallman ($4,600 DK, $5,800 FD)

It would be prudent to include Gallman this week, even if I don’t think I will own a ton of him. Gallman is not terribly talented, but he could end up stealing some of our passing touchdowns this week if they get close to the endzone. Not my favorite play, but I can’t fault anybody for jamming him in either.

Justin Jackson ($4,100 DK, $6,200 FD)

With Melvin Gordon reporting, it looks like the Austin Ekeler gravy train is coming to a halt. Gordon is not playing this week, and they get this miserable Miami defense. Even though Ekeler seems to be the one racking up the points, Jackson is still seeing a good share of the workload and could end up with the bulk of it when the game gets out of hand. He has already had a touchdown or two called back, so it’s not like he is being ignored in the red zone. This could be a solid pivot off of Gallman this week. Jackson was seen in a walking boot on Friday so keep an eye on the Chargers injury report.

Don’t Forget About: Rashaad Penny (if he plays, Chris Carson has the fumbles)

Wide Receiver

Terry McLaurin ($4,500 DK, $6,300 FD)

Welcome to the slam dunk chalk of the week. Scary Terry is already breaking out and his price is not reflecting his performance just yet. He is currently projected to be owned north of 30%, but that may swing down a bit considering he has some hamstring tightness in practice this week. If for some reason he were to miss, Trey Quinn and Paul Richardson would be two solid spots to look at also.

Will Fuller ($4,500 DK, $5,900 FD)

We haven’t had that one week yet where Fuller goes berserk and scores on two long touchdowns. Really, we haven’t had a Deshaun Watson goes berserk week yet (week one I guess he did, but it was not on the main slate). I am looking towards this offense this week against a Panthers defense that has some playmakers but cedes fantasy points to average offenses, let alone the Texans. This may be Fuller’s lowest price of the year, so get in at this price while you can.

Curtis Samuel ($4,600 DK, $5,800 FD)

I will be honest, I really do not like Samuel, but it looked like Kyle Allen trusted him last week with some dangerous throws. If this game goes as I think it will, Carolina will need to be throwing the ball and lines up with for a nice seven or eight targets for a receiver at this price.

Don’t Forget About: Trey Quinn (min-priced on DK), Christian Kirk (still priced too low)

Tight End

I will just note that tight ends on FanDuel do not get priced down very far, so the value aspect is diminished over there.

Greg Olsen ($4,200 DK, $6,000 FD)

Olsen is a guy I didn’t get on until Sunday morning, but Kyle Allen liked his safety valves more than his downfield throws, and Olsen did not disappoint, especially in the red zone. If you want to come down from the top five tight ends, Olsen is in a great spot again this week.

O.J. Howard ($3,900 DK, $5,900 FD) 

Jameis Winston has to find this guy eventually, right? Howard is a physical freak, and Winston seems to lock in on a different receiver every week. The Rams have solid corners, but their linebackers are not the best in coverage. If Tampa ends up falling behind (which would make sense), Howard could be picking up some work in the hurry-up offense picking on these linebackers.

T.J. Hockenson ($3,300 DK, $5,200 FD)

This is another total dart throw. After his blowup in week one, he has barely been mentioned in the last two weeks. I wish everyone would have forgotten about him, but a matchup with the Chiefs will not allow such a thing. If Kansas City does their usual thing on offense, it’s going to force Stafford to go to the air, and Hockenson could be the beneficiary again. This is a deep tournament play only.

Don’t Forget About: Will Dissly (sizeable chalk, can easily bust, but will be owned)


Carolina Panthers ($2,300 DK, $3,500 FD)

While I don’t think they are going to stop Houston from scoring, Watson takes more sacks than any other quarterback, and that will lead to some points at a low price. Also consider that the Panthers are opportunistic, and could make Watson pay for a mistake by putting up six the other way. Not much more you can ask for at the price.

Denver Broncos ($2,900 DK, $4,100 FD)

How in the world does this team have no sacks or turnovers yet? That can’t last forever, and I’m sure Von Miller isn’t happy about having a doughnut in the sack department. The good news is that they are home against a Jaguars team that has a pretty terrible offensive line and I’m sure Miller would love to knock that porn-stache off of Gardner Minshew’s face. This is a get-right spot for the Denver defense, and the stars are aligned for a solid performance.

Questions and comments?

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