It’s another Sunday, my fine-feathered friends, and we are ready to cash in on another quartet of NFL bets. We went three-for-five on last week’s edition (shame on me for expecting the Texans to pull a rabbit out of their hat), but I’ve got three certified bangers to lay some coin on in Week 7. Ready? Put on your shoes… we’re going on a run.
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Green Bay Packers -8 (-110) vs Washington Football Team
This is getting silly. Every single week I say that Vegas has got the Packers’ line wrong, and nearly every single week, I’m right. They bumped this one to eight points, and surprisingly the betting public has barely moved the needle after it opened at 7.5. Regardless, this is a dynamic offense against what was supposed to be one of the better defenses in the league in 2021. How has that turned out? Not well, if you’re a fan of the team in our nation’s capital. Washington is not good/bad/very bad on defense, and to make matters worse, they’re starting Taylor Heinicke under center. Backups are backups for a reason, and he led them to a whopping 13 points against *checks notes* arguably the second-worst defense in Kansas City at home. This is easy money, so lay the eight points and put on a cheesehead.
Book it: Packers -8 (-110)
Atlanta Falcons -2 (-110) at Miami Dolphins
As I said in our expert picks article, I think Vegas cappers were drunk when they installed the Falcons as just a two-point favorite in Miami. Did someone miss the part where the ‘Fins looked completely inept as they handed Jacksonville its first win in 20 games? Atlanta is not a good team, but until they get their hands on Deshaun Watson, Miami is a far worse one. Matt Ryan is finding more chemistry with Kyle Pitts, Mike Davis is showing signs of life, and the wideout corps gets Russell Gage back. Pencil it in, put a sticker on it, thumbtack it to the wall… do whatever you need to do to remember to plunk your bucks on Hotlanta to cover this spread. It won’t even be the fourth quarter when the Tua Tagovailoa talk turns into Watson talk.
Book it: Falcons -2 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens 1H -3.5 (-110) vs Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have gotten off to numerous slow starts this season, thanks mostly to very conservative play calling. Head Coach Zac Taylor has never beaten the Ravens, and while I do not expect that to change today, Cincinnati is likely to close the gap late. In the first half, however, Lamar Jackson will propel Baltimore to a significant lead by serving as the main running back in the absence of any others. Look for the Ravens to carry a 10- to 14-point lead into the half, but don’t touch the overall line.
Book it: Ravens -3.5 (-110) first half
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers o47 (-110)
Tom Brady‘s squad has scored 195 points in six games thus far in 2021. That’s a 32.5-point per game average. They’ve played some decent defenses, if not world-beaters. Philadelphia, the Los Angeles Rams, and the Patriots are not defensive pushovers. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers defense can be weak against the pass and the team has allowed 24 points per game. Long story longer, they are going to light up the scoreboard on the Bears’ defensive mirage before allowing Chicago to add on some garbage-time touchdowns. The Bears are still coughing up over 20 points per game and Matt Nagy is showing a little more leeway to Justin Fields on offense. Chicago only needs to find the end zone twice for this over to hit. Plus, it’s always more fun to root for an over, right?
Book it: Bucs/Bears over 47 points scored
That’s it for this week, kids. Best of luck with all of your gambling ventures. This is a fine day to add to that bankroll, so let’s get to it.
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