Welcome to a weekly installment of NFL picks.
Feel free to keep track of your predictions and see if you can beat the author.
Straight-up Record: 103-43-1
ATS Record: 75-69-3
Week 11 Byes: Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers
Thursday Night Football:
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3)
Cardinals 27, Seahawks 24
The Cardinals will complete their Seattle sweep with a dramatic win late.
Sunday Games:
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
Titans 24, Ravens 14
In a rematch of a 2019 playoff game, the Titans will dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Expect Derrick Henry to turn back the clock and have a great performance.
Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns (-3)
Browns 20, Eagles 19
The Browns will move back into the playoff picture with a victory as the Eagles cover but fail to win. The Eagles would remain on top of the NFC East with a horrific 3-6-1 record.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-4.5)
Saints 31, Falcons 24
Taysom HIll will lead the Saints to a victory. Atlanta’s late-season surge will come up short.
Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team (-1.5)
Bengals 20, Football Team 17
Joe Burrow and the Bengals will cover and beat the Football Team. As inspiring as the Alex Smith story is, the Football Team is not very good at their namesake sport.
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (-1.5)
Panthers 28, Lions 21
With or without Teddy Bridgewater, the Panthers will prevail over the Lions. Matt Patricia could be fired on Monday if the loss is ugly enough.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+10.5)
Steelers 27, Jaguars 17
Jake Luton and the Jaguars will cover the spread for the third straight week, but they will lose by two possessions.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+2)
Patriots 23, Texans 20
The Patriots will extend their winning streak, beating the Texans. Cam Newton will lead the Pats to a victory and a cover.
Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos (+3.5)
Dolphins 35, Broncos 17
While trips to Denver can be difficult, facing Drew Lock is not. Lock will be relentlessly pressured into turnovers, and the Dolphins will clobber the Broncos.
New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5)
Chargers 31, Jets 20
Justin Herbert will have a career-high in passing yards as the Chargers blast through New York. The Jets are nearly secure in their attempt to tank for Trevor Lawrence.
Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)
Packers 30, Colts 23
The Colts will limit the Packers to some degree, but Philip Rivers and the offense will come up short in the loss. Green Bay will pull off the road win.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (-7)
Vikings 28, Cowboys 14
Minnesota will continue their road back into the NFC playoff picture. A win over Dallas would propel them to 5-5, just a game behind the loser of Arizona/Seattle.
Sunday Night Football:
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (+8)
Chiefs 31, Raiders 20
The Chiefs will exact their revenge, knocking off Las Vegas in Las Vegas. Patrick Mahomes will cement his status at the top of the MVP hierarchy.
Monday Night Football:
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4)
Buccaneers 24, Rams 21
Los Angeles’s stellar defense will clamp Tampa Bay, but a late interception by Jamel Dean will push Tampa Bay to 8-3.
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