Every week billions of dollars are wagered on the NFL. The most popular type of bet is the spread. Each week there are a few games with an appealing spread and others with an ugly spread. To help bettors figure out which spreads they should bet on and which to avoid, two of our NFL writers, Mike Fanelli and Dale Money, give their take on every spread for each of this weekend’s games.
To recap, last week, Mike finished with a 5-8-1 record while Dale also finished 5-8-1. For the year, Mike is 55-57-2 while Dale is 58-54-2. Let’s take a look at their picks for Week 9.
Spreads are provided by Jazz Sportsbook. Please bet responsibly.
Be sure to check out our NFL betting advice article each week.
|
Game |
Mike |
Dale |
|
Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins -6 |
HOU +6 |
MIA -6 |
|
Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys -10 |
DAL -10 |
DAL -10 |
|
Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens -6 |
MIN +6 |
MIN +6 |
|
New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers +3.5 |
NE -3.5 |
NE -3.5 |
|
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars -14.5 |
BUF -14.5 |
JAX +14.5 |
|
Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 |
CIN -2.5 |
CLE +2.5 |
|
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants +3.5 |
LV -3.5 |
NYG +3.5 |
|
Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints -6 |
NO -6 |
NO -6 |
|
Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles +2 |
LAC -2 |
LAC -2 |
|
Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs -7 |
GB +7 |
GB +7 |
|
Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers -2.5 |
SF -2.5 |
SF -2.5 |
|
Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams -7 |
LAR -7 |
LAR -7 |
|
Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers -6 |
CHI +6 |
PIT -6 |
The Team to Bet
Mike: Houston Texans +6
To no one’s surprise, the Texans have been underdogs in every game this season. They have been underdogs by an average of 12.5 points per game this season, including 11.5 or more points in three straight games. However, the Texans did cover last week against the Los Angeles Rams and have covered the spread in 50 percent of their games this season. More importantly, the Texans will get back Tyrod Taylor for this game. He led them to their only victory of the season in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins have only been the favorites twice this season, going 1-1 against the spread. However, both of those games had a spread under three points. While the Dolphins will win this game, expect Taylor to keep it a close contest.
Dale: Los Angeles Rams -7
Due to the season-ending injury to Derrick Henry, things will be a lot tougher on Ryan Tannehill since he won’t have his stud running back to lean on. Having an old Adrian Peterson and an unproven Jeremy McNichols carry the load in the backfield isn’t ideal for the Titans. Moreover, the Los Angeles Rams recently added Von Miller to their defense, making life worse for opposing quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford should have no trouble outpacing Tannehill in what could be a shootout. Take the Rams minus the points.
The Team to Avoid
Mike: Kansas City Chiefs -7
With Aaron Rodgers out because of Covid-19, Jordan Love will get his first career start. Despite the quarterback situation for the Green Bay Packers, don’t be so quick to back the Chiefs minus the points. Despite their 4-4 record, the Chiefs have been favored in every game this season. They have been the favorite by an average of 5.9 points per game. However, the Chiefs are only 2-6 against the spread this season, with their two wins against the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Football Team. When the Chiefs have been a touchdown or more favorite this season, they have covered it only once, winning on average by only three points per game. While Patrick Mahomes will lead the Chiefs to a victory, it will be by fewer than seven points.
Dale: Baltimore Ravens -6
Despite their performance last week, don’t expect the Minnesota Vikings to roll over for the Ravens. In years past, the Ravens have had an elite defense. However, this year it has been the complete opposite. They are one of the worst teams in the NFL in yards allowed per game, just ahead of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Dalvin Cook should feast on the struggling Baltimore run defense. By comparison, Cook had almost 150 rushing yards against a talented Carolina Panthers defense a few weeks ago. While the Ravens may win the game, don’t expect them to cover the spread.
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