Here we are for another week of the baseball season. We have been rolling of late with our DFS picks and tonight we have a seven-game main slate starting at 7:10 pm est. As always, you will be getting some pitchers, sluggers, and stacks to roll with in DraftKings lineups. Let’s dive into it and good luck.
Pitchers
Trevor Bauer ($10,200)
Bauer has been nothing short of dominant through four starts, not surrendering more than one run and three hits in any of them. He has gone six innings or more and struck out at least seven batters. Bauer’s strikeout total is at 41 (43.6% K%) and he has just walked seven. His xwOBA against sits at just .175. He faces a Brewers lineup who hasn’t been too special so far, tied third-worst in wOBA at .288.
Kenta Maeda ($9,400)
What an addition to the Twins’ rotation Maeda has been, as he has been easily the ace of their staff so far. He comes off a start in which he carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning versus the aforementioned Brewers where he struck out 12 and walked two. He has 33 strikeouts overall to just six walks in 31.2 innings over five starts. He faces an Indians offense who is tied third-worst in wOBA (.288), third-worst in hard hit rate (32.7%), and worst in xBA at .233.
Lance Lynn ($8,900)
Lynn hasn’t given up than two runs over his six starts while striking out 42 and walking 12 over 39.1 innings. He is averaging 26 DraftKings points per start and his last start against the Padres he surrendered two homers and no walks while striking out six over seven innings. He faces the always dangerous Oakland lineup but could be a solid option in cash games the way he has been rolling. Especially when he limited the Slam Diego lineup to two runs.
Other options: Brad Keller ($6,700), Casey Mize ($6,200), Alec Mills ($7,800)
Sluggers
Anthony Rendon ($5,500)
Rendon raised his hit streak to 13 games after a 2-for-5 performance on Sunday, a stretch that has raised his average from .103 to .319. He is on fire and has gone 25-for-52 (.481) over his hitting streak. He has a 56.7% hard-hit rate on the season, .409 xwOBA (top 10% of the league), and his 18.5% BB rate is top 1% of the league. Framber Valdez has been very good this year but is due for a slip-up against a hot hitter.
Paul Goldschmidt ($5,000)
Goldy has yet to really barrel the ball up this season with just two bombs, 7.1% barrel rate, and 35.7 hard-hit rate. Of course, he and the Cardinals have missed several games because of COVID-19 which has made it harder for him to get going. His current xwOBA of .432 is in the top 9% of the league and his 22.1% walk rate is in the top 2%. He has mashed righties in the past, which he faces today in Brad Keller, smashing both his homers off them this year, as well as 25 with a .791 OPS last year.
Nelson Cruz ($5,700)
Boomstick Nellie has been on a roll of late, coming off a 2-for-3 day yesterday in which he hit a solo homer, walked twice, and scored two runs. Over the last 10 games, he has gone 12-for-32 with six homers, 10 RBIs, and nine runs scored. His stat line for the season sits at .343/.435/.687, 10 HR, 26 RBIs, and 22 R. He faces right-hander Aaron Civale today who he is yet to face, but he mashes righties as six of his 10 homers this season are against them, and he had 25 dongs and a .971 OPS against them last season.
Other options: Hunter Dozier ($3,800), Nicholas Castellanos ($5,200), Kyle Tucker ($3,800)
Stacks
Minnesota Twins vs. Aaron Civale, Cleveland Indians
The Twins don’t have the cheapest options if you wanted to use a stack of them, but they are very left-handed and switch-hitting heavy facing a righty in Civale. 36 of the team’s total 42 homers this season have come against right-handers. People may try to stay away from the Twins today the way Civale has looked, but he surrendered three runs in six innings his other time out against them which included a homer from Mitch Garver. Don’t be afraid to pay up for guys like Miguel Sano ($4,900), who is heating up, Jorge Polanco ($4,900), and Max Kepler ($4,500), along with Cruz. Jake Cave ($3,100) is also a potential value option as he has had at least one hit in four straight games.
Home run call: Nelson Cruz
Be sure to get more DFS advice for tonight’s slate on the latest episode of Too Much Pod Tar!
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6Ot7RmE8Fb3Zo9M0xtyV08?si=DI2kVCH4SNKkpwaxewlLbA
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