Welcome back. We jump right into the week with a bigger slate than normal for a Monday. A 12-gamer with a decent amount of value along with some fun match-ups to exploit. So, let’s dive right in and take a look at the Arms, Bats, and Stacks for tonight’s games.
Lucas Giolito ($11,000 on DK and $9,800 on FD)
Giolito hasn’t been as dominant as he was to start the season, but he is still very capable of racking up the strikeouts and putting up an elite-level performance any given night. Last time out, Giolito got back to his dominant ways, pitching seven innings, striking out nine while allowing only three hits and one run. The Detroit Tigers are just the match-up we are looking for when trying to predict the next big pitching performance. Giolito will take his 10.83 K/9 rate to a good field for pitching, Comerica Park. The Tigers have struck out a ton all season and are currently second-worst in all of baseball, striking out 26.3% versus right-handed pitchers.
Spencer Turnbull ($7,000 on DK and $6,600 on FD)
Turnbull is expected to be activated from the 10-day injured list to start tonight against the Chicago White Sox. Since we are using Giolito, the upside might be limited in tournaments, but the floor will be nice in cash games. The strikeout potential is there for Turnbull, we’ve seen him put up decent numbers earlier in the season. In his one rehab outing, Turnbull went 3.2 innings, allowed one hit, and stuck out seven batters. We mentioned how much the Tigers strikeout versus right-handed pitchers. The only team that strikes out at a higher rate is the Chicago White Sox (26.5%).
Other Targets: Rick Porcello, Aaron Civale, and Charlie Morton.
C Brian McCann ($3,700 on DK and $2,500 on FD)
McCann has excellent career numbers versus Jake Odorizzi. He’s 13-37 (.419) with 3 HRs 10 RBIs and 7 XBH. There isn’t a whole lot to love about the catcher position tonight, so, I’ll take a stab with McCann. He’s not terribly priced and batting fifth tonight for the Atlanta Braves.
1B Ji-Man Choi ($3,900 on DK and $3,100 on FD)
I don’t know if Ji-Man Choi felt disrespected that the Tampa Bay Rays were actively searching for help at the first base position, but since July 28th, he’s been on a tear. Choi has hit safely in each of the last four games and has multi-hits in three of those four. Hitting leadoff tonight, I think there is a good chance Choi factors into some of the Rays run production.
1B Jesus Aguilar ($3,300 on DK and $2,600 on FD)
I’m giving you two plays at first base tonight and they are both Rays. Aguilar is cheaper and might feel equally as disrespected after the Milwaukee Brewers deemed him expendable and shipped him to Tampa. Since joining the Rays, Aguilar has reached base in seven of his first ten plate-appearances. Aguilar has been known to be used more against left-handed pitchers, but he hit a moonshot yesterday against a righty. Jacob Waguespack is a righty that has struggled more against right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .333 average and .403 wOBA against them.
3B Eugenio Suarez ($4,400 on DK and $3,600 on FD)
Suarez is quietly having another very solid season, and maybe his best from a power perspective. Suarez put up a career-high 34 homers a year ago and is one home run shy of 30 for the season. I think it’s more than likely he tops 34 this year and he has a good shot to hit one tonight. He gets a match-up at home against Taylor Cole and Patrick Sandoval of the Los Angeles Angels. Cole is expected to be the opener. He was rocked last time for four runs in only one-third of an inning pitched. Sandoval is a lefty making his MLB debut. In 15 games started at Triple-A, Sandoval had a 6.41 ERA and a 5.22 BB/9 rate. Suarez has a .372 wOBA against lefties this season.
OF Jason Heyward ($3,700 on DK and $3,100 on FD)
Word on the street was Heyward didn’t want to hit leadoff. The word on the street might be changing after Heyward’s recent success. Heyward hit a first-pitch lead-off homer in yesterday’s game and a lead-off shot on Friday. He also added a triple, knocked in three runs, and scored twice yesterday. Chris Bassitt gives up a lot of fly balls to left-handed hitters (43.2%). With the wind expected to be blowing out over ten miles per hour, anything hit in the air might go out of the ballpark.
OF Nicholas Castellanos ($3,500 on DK and $3,100 on FD)
Castellanos has hits in all of his first four contests with the Chicago Cubs and has gotten a bit unlucky on some balls that weren’t hits. Weirdly enough, his price has dropped on Draftkings. Castellanos has solid numbers versus Chris Bassitt, hitting 4-11 (.364) with three extra-base hits.
Other Targets: J.D. Martinez, Aaron Judge, Mookie Betts, Christian Yelich, Corey Seager, Mike Moustakas, and Gleyber Torres.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Dario Agrazal
Cincinnati Reds vs Taylor Cole and Patrick Sandoval
Boston Red Sox vs Mike Montgomery
New York Yankees vs Gabriel Ynoa
Questions and comments?
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