In 2020 it feels like we have football every Tuesday. Tonight the 3-8 Dallas Cowboys taking on the 6-5 Baltimore Ravens. The Cowboys need to win this game to keep pace with the New York Giants in the NFC East. Meanwhile, the Ravens are currently 1.5 games out of the final AFC Wild Card spot. A loss to the Cowboys would seriously hamper the Ravens’ chances of making the postseason.
The team’s fan base and fantasy football players will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention. For gamblers, their only rooting interest is whatever will lead to money in their pocket. However, which bets should they place? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Andy Dalton Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-190)
Dalton has struggled since taking over as the starting quarterback this season. Not only has he dealt with injuries and Covid, but Dalton has also been inconsistent on the field. In his four starts this season, Dalton has a total of five passing touchdowns, throwing one or fewer in three of them. Meanwhile, the Ravens have done an excellent job slowing down quarterbacks this season. They are giving up an average of just under one passing touchdown per game to quarterbacks not named Patrick Mahomes. Furthermore, they have held quarterbacks to one or fewer passing touchdowns in 64 percent of their games this season. Dalton may get one passing touchdown tonight but likely won’t get a second.
Lamar Jackson Over 177.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Last week, Jackson missed the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers after being placed on the Covid list. However, he will be active tonight against the Cowboys. While Jackson’s passing stats have regressed from last season, he is a lock to hit the over on this prop bet tonight. Jackson has thrown at least 180 yards in all but two games this season, including six of his last seven. Meanwhile, the Cowboys’ secondary has given up 185 or more passing yards in 73 percent of their games this season, giving up an average of 231 per game. Expect Jackson to have his third straight game with over 185 passing yards.
Michael Gallup Over 3.5 Receptions (+140)
The 2020 season hasn’t gone the way Gallup had hoped. He is averaging 3.4 receptions per game after averaging 4.7 last season. After totaling eight targets in his first two games after Dak Prescott‘s injury, Gallup is averaging eight per game over his past four games. During that span, Gallup had six or more receptions in half of those games, averaging 4.5 per contest. Meanwhile, the Ravens gave up a season-high 25 receptions to the Steelers’ wide receivers last week. The Cowboys should be in negative game script most of the second half, opening up plenty of opportunities for Gallup to hit the over on this prop bet.
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+170)
After averaging 2.4 passing touchdowns per game last season, Jackson is averaging 1.5 this season. Despite the Ravens’ passing game struggles, Jackson has thrown two or more passing touchdowns in half of his games this season, including four of his last seven games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have given up an average of 2.2 passing touchdowns per game this season. Furthermore, since Week 1, the Cowboys have given up two or more passing touchdowns in 80 percent of their games. While Jackson won’t have Mark Andrews tonight, Jackson still has Marquise Brown and enough weapons to toss two touchdown passes.
Ezekiel Elliott Under 2.5 Receptions (+130)
Since Prescott suffered a season-ending ankle injury, Zeke has struggled not only on the ground but in the passing game. In the four games Dak played start to finish this season, Zeke averaged almost six receptions per game. In the seven games since, Zeke is averaging 2.3 per game, catching more than two in only one contest. To make matters worst for Zeke, he’s losing snaps to Tony Pollard. Over the first five games of the season, Zeke played at least 77 percent of the snaps in each one. However, in the six games since, Zeke has played under 71 percent of the snaps in all but one game. Between the decline in his targets and snaps, Zeke is likely to have his sixth straight game with under three receptions.
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