Tonight we have a matchup between the New York Jets and the Indianapolis Colts. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Mike White Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110)
In his first career start, White threw three touchdowns last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. While it took him 45 pass attempts to throw three touchdowns, he completed 82.2 percent of his passes in the win. When he came in for the injured Zach Wilson in Week 7, White managed to throw a touchdown on his first completion in the NFL. More importantly, White has a 5.2 percent touchdown rate in 1.5 games this season. Meanwhile, the Colts have given up the second-most passing touchdowns this season, giving up 2.4 per game. They have given up two or more passing touchdowns in 75 percent of their games this season. White will have no trouble throwing two or more touchdowns tonight.
Michael Pittman Jr. Over 5.5 Receptions (-105)
With T.Y. Hilton missing six games this season, Pittman has stepped up as the No. 1 wide receiver for the Colts. He has averaged 5.6 receptions per game this season, catching six or more in five games. Last week Pittman had a career game, finishing with 10 receptions on 15 targets against the Tennessee Titans. Importantly, Pittman has a 23.6 percent target share this season. By comparison, Zach Pascal is second on the team with a 15.6 percent target share. Meanwhile, the Jets have given up 12 or more receptions to wide receivers in four of their past five games. With Hilton out for tonight’s game, Pittman is more likely to have double-digit receptions than under six receptions.
Michael Carter Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Despite being a rookie running back, Carter is second on the Jets in receiving yards this season with 226. However, Carter has become the focal point of the passing attack with White under center. Over the past two games, Carter has caught 17 of 25 targets for 162 receiving yards. He has accounted for 24.9 percent of the Jets’ passing yards over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the Colts have given up only 33 receiving yards per game to running backs. However, running backs have only been targeted 5.3 times per game against the Colts this season. Last week, Carter led the Jets with 95 receiving yards and a 25.9 percent target share. As long as White is under center, expect similar numbers from Carter in this game.
Carson Wentz Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-140)
While Wentz had two interceptions last week against the Titans, he also threw a season-high three touchdowns. He has thrown two or more touchdowns in 75 percent of his games this season, including five straight games. Meanwhile, the Jets have struggled to defend the pass recently. Over their past three games, the Jets have given up 2.3 passing touchdowns per game to quarterbacks, giving up at least two in every contest. The Jets faced Matt Ryan without Calvin Ridley, Mac Jones, and Joe Burrow during that span. After throwing two or more touchdowns in five straight games, Wentz is more likely to throw three touchdowns tonight than under two.
Jamison Crowder Over 5.5 Receptions (-105)
The Jets won’t have Corey Davis for this game as he is dealing with a hip injury. While he has missed three games this season, Crowder has averaged 5.8 receptions per game. More importantly, Crowder caught eight of his nine targets last week with Davis out with the injury. His eight receptions and nine targets finished second on the team, only behind Carter. Meanwhile, the Colts have given up an average of 12.6 receptions per game to wide receivers. They have given up 13 or more in three of their past four games, including 17 or more twice. White has averaged only 5.5 air yards per attempt this season, meaning he doesn’t throw the ball downfield, which benefits Crowder. He should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
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