Tonight we have a matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the New Orleans Saints. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Dak Prescott Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Prescott has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL this season, averaging 293.2 passing yards per game. He has thrown for over 300 yards in 40 percent of the games this season, including 375 passing yards last week without Amari Cooper or CeeDee Lamb. The good news for Dak is Cooper and Lamb will both play tonight. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up the sixth-most passing yards this season, giving up 266.5 per game. However, when facing elite quarterbacks, their defense has been picked apart. They gave up an average of 317.5 passing yards per game to Tom Brady and Josh Allen. Furthermore, they gave up over 340 passing yards to Daniel Jones and Matt Ryan. Dak will have no trouble throwing for over 300 yards tonight.
Tre’Quan Smith Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After missing the first five weeks of the season with an injury, Smith has turned into the Saints’ No. 1 wide receiver. Over the past five games, Smith has averaged 5.4 targets and 45 receiving yards per game. He had at least 31 receiving yards in every game, totaling 44 or more receiving yards in three of those contests. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have given up an average of 182.8 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the fourth-most in the NFL. Last week, they gave up a season-high 307 receiving yards to the Las Vegas Raiders wide receivers, including 134 to Hunter Renfrow, 102 to DeSean Jackson, and 59 to Zay Jones. Smith should hit the over on this prop bet early in the third quarter.
Ezekiel Elliott Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Reports earlier this week suggested that the Cowboys will give Zeke some time off to rest his knee injury. However, Jerry Jones said Zeke will carry a “serious load” in tonight’s contest. After practicing in full all week, Elliott should be 100 percent for this game. The star running back has averaged 65.5 rushing yards per game this season, totaling at least 50 rushing yards seven of the past 10 contests. Meanwhile, the Saints have struggled to stop opposing running games lately. Over the past two weeks, they have given up an average of 121.5 rushing yards per game to running backs. If Zeke can break off a big run early in the game, he could hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Taysom Hill Over 205.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Tonight, Hill will make his first start of the season, replacing Trevor Siemian. While he has thrown only three passes this season, Hill will have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet. In four starts last season, Hill averaged 208.5 passing yards per game. Furthermore, Hill threw for at least 230 yards in three of those games. In the other game, he threw the ball only 16 times in a blowout win against the Denver Broncos, with Kendall Hinton playing emergency quarterback for Denver. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have given up an average of 278.6 passing yards per game this season, the sixth-most in the NFL. Given the matchup, don’t be surprised if Hill has over 240 passing yards in his first start of the season.
CeeDee Lamb Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Last week, Lamb missed the game with a concussion. However, he has cleared the protocol and will play tonight. Before suffering the injury two weeks ago, Lamb was playing arguably the best football of his career. Over the previous five games, Lamb averaged 8.2 targets and 92.4 receiving yards per game. He finished with at least 84 receiving yards in four of those five games. Lamb has averaged 74 receiving yards per game this season, totaling 66 or more receiving yards in 70 percent of the contests. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up an average of 182.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the fifth-most in the NFL. With Cooper coming off Covid-19 and not 100 percent healthy, expect Dak to target Lamb often in this game.
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