Tonight we have a matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Miami Dolphins. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Lamar Jackson Over 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Everyone knows how electrifying Jackson is with his legs. However, he has turned into an elite passer this season as well. He has averaged 276.1 passing yards per game this season, throwing for at least 235 yards in all but one game. Jackson has more games this season with over 265 passing yards (four) than games with under 255 passing yards (three). Meanwhile, the Dolphins have allowed the most passing yards this season, giving up almost 300 passing yards per game. They have given up an average of 319.2 passing yards per game over the past five weeks, giving up at least 240 passing yards in every contest. This number is way too low. Until it gets above 260 passing yards, hammer the over.
Myles Gaskin Over 3.5 Receptions (-140)
While he has been very inconsistent as a runner this season, Gaskin has been one of the most consistent pass catchers on the team. He has 37 receptions this season, averaging 4.1 receptions per game, including three or more receptions in all but two games. Furthermore, Gaskin has averaged five receptions per game over the past five weeks, finishing with six or more twice. Meanwhile, the Ravens have allowed running backs to average 5.3 receptions per game this season. They have given up five or more receptions to running backs in over half their games this season, including nine or more twice. With DeVante Parker and Will Fuller out for tonight’s game, Gaskin will have an expanded role in the passing game.
Mark Andrews Over 3.5 Receptions (-175)
At the halfway point of the season, Andrews is fourth in the NFL among tight ends with 42 receptions. He has averaged 5.3 receptions per game this season, finishing with five or more in 75 percent of the games. More importantly, Andrews has averaged six receptions per game over the past four contests, finishing with five or more in all but one matchup. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have given up the eighth-most receptions to tight ends this season, giving up 5.3 per game to the position. They have given up an average of 6.7 receptions per game to tight ends over the past three weeks, giving up at least six in two of those games. Andrews could hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Jaylen Waddle Over 5.5 Receptions (+100)
With Parker and Fuller missing games because of injuries, Waddle has stepped up as the No. 1 pass catcher for the Dolphins. He has averaged 6.6 receptions per game since Week 3, finishing with seven or more receptions in 57.1 percent of those contests. Over the past month, Waddle has averaged 7.3 receptions on 10.5 targets per game without Parker and Fuller in the lineup. While the Ravens have held wide receivers to only 11.6 receptions per game this season, they have struggled to slow down opposing No. 1 wide receivers. Over their past four games, the Ravens have given up eight receptions to Ja’Marr Chase and six receptions to Michael Pittman. Without Parker or Filler in the lineup, Waddle will undoubtedly hit the over on this prop bet tonight.
Marquise Brown Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After averaging 45.1 receiving yards per game over the first two years of his career, Brown has turned into a star receiver this season. He is currently sixth in the NFL with 682 receiving yards, averaging 85.3 receiving yards per game. Brown has 69 or more receiving yards in all but two games this season. Over the past five games, Brown has averaged 89.4 receiving yards per game, totaling 80 or more receiving yards in four of those contests. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have given up the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season, giving up 192.8 receiving yards per game. Brown is more likely to finish tonight’s game with over 100 receiving yards than under 56.5 receiving yards.
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