Tonight we have a matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Taysom Hill Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
As the starting quarterback, Hill has averaged more rushing yards per attempt (7.9) than passing yards per attempt (7.1) this season. He has at least 73 rushing yards in both games as a starter. Furthermore, Hill averaged 52.3 rushing yards as the starter last season, totaling 44 or more rushing yards in three of those four contests. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have given up the sixth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season. Last week they gave up a season-high 109 rushing yards to Josh Allen. They have also given up at least 38 rushing yards to Jalen Hurts, Justin Fields, and Jameis Winston this season. A critical part of the Saints’ offense is Hill’s rushing ability. He just might hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Tom Brady Over 301.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Even at 44 years old, Brady is the favorite to win the MVP award as he leads the NFL in passing yards with 4,134 yards, averaging 318 passing yards per game. He has thrown for at least 307 yards in over half the games this season, including three of the last four contests. Meanwhile, the Saints have held quarterbacks to 259.3 passing yards per game this season. However, they have given up 305 or more passing yards to quarterbacks in four games this season, including 375 passing yards to Brady in Week 8. With a win and some help, the Buccaneers can take over as the top seed in the NFC playoff picture tonight. Expect Brady to come out firing in this game.
Alvin Kamara to Score an Anytime Touchdown (+110)
The superstar running back has eight total touchdowns in nine games this season. More importantly, he has scored at least one touchdown in all but two games this season, including five straight. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have surrendered 10 touchdowns to running backs this season. They have allowed running back to score at least one touchdown in four of the past six games. In the matchup against the Buccaneers in Week 8, Kamara had 22 touches for 76 scrimmage yards and a touchdown. More importantly, Kamara has averaged a touchdown once every 20.2 touches over the past five games. He has averaged 23.2 touches per game this season. Kamara is more likely to score three times than not at all tonight.
Chris Godwin Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Godwin is fourth in the NFL, with 1,054 receiving yards entering Week 15. The veteran wide receiver is averaging 81.1 receiving yards per game this season. However, Godwin has averaged 92.1 receiving yards per game with Antonio Brown out of the lineup this season, totaling over 100 receiving yards in four of those seven games. Furthermore, he has stepped up his play lately, averaging 124 receiving yards per game over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the Saints have given up an average of 179.2 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the fourth-most in the NFL. In the matchup against the Saints earlier this season, Godwin had 140 receiving yards. He will have no trouble totaling at least 77 receiving yards in this contest.
Nick Vannett Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Despite missing the first nine games this season with an injury, Vannett has become a solid contributor for the Saints. In the four games he has played this season, Vannett has averaged 30.8 receiving yards per game. However, he has averaged 46 receiving yards per game with Hill as the starting quarterback, totaling at least 44 receiving yards in both contests. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have given up an average of 58.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season. Furthermore, they have also allowed tight ends to average 62.8 receiving yards per game since their bye week. While Vannett won’t have 65 receiving yards tonight, he’s all but guaranteed to finish with at least 40 receiving yards.
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