Tonight we have a matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Aaron Jones Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
While the star running back has split the backfield work with AJ Dillon this season, Jones leads the team with 723 rushing yards, averaging 51.6 rushing yards per game. However, Jones has averaged 54.9 rushing yards per game since Week 1. Meanwhile, the Vikings have given up an average of 100.7 rushing yards per game to running backs this season, the 10th most in the NFL. They have also given up at least 92 rushing yards to running backs in four of their past five games, giving up over 135 rushing yards in two of those games. Furthermore, they will be without starting defensive tackle Michael Pierce for this game. Jones should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Justin Jefferson Under 74.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Unfortunately, Kirk Cousins was placed on the Covid-19 list on Friday and won’t play tonight. That means Sean Mannion will make only his third career start in this game. Mannion averaged only 147.5 passing yards per game in his previous two starts, throwing for under 170 yards in both contests. Jefferson has played well this season, averaging 96.7 receiving yards per game. However, he has totaled under 72 receiving yards in 33 percent of the games, including two weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Packers have held wide receivers to 117.3 receiving yards per game over the past three weeks. Not only is Mannion starting tonight, but Adam Thielen is out for the year. Expect the Packers to double team Jefferson all game long, forcing someone else to beat them.
Aaron Rodgers Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The weather for tonight’s game is far from ideal. However, reports are it will be cold, but not windy or snowing. Rodgers averaged 263.5 passing yards per game this season, throwing for at least 255 passing yards in nine of 14 games. Furthermore, Rodgers has averaged 299.2 passing yards per game since returning from the Covid-19 list. Meanwhile, the Vikings have given up an average of 267.4 passing yards per game this season, the fifth-most in the NFL. Furthermore, they have given up over 285 passing yards in three of their past four games. More importantly, Rodgers had a season-high 385 passing yards in the matchup earlier this season against the Vikings. He should have no trouble throwing for at least 260 yards in this game.
Dalvin Cook Over 80.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Between the weather and the quarterback situation, the Vikings will lean on Cook and the running game tonight. The veteran running back is averaging 97 rushing yards per game this season. Furthermore, Cook has more games this season with over 90 rushing yards (five) than games with under 80 rushing yards (four). He has at least 86 rushing yards in six of the past eight games, averaging 105.1 rushing yards per game during that span. Meanwhile, the Packers have struggled to stop the run lately. Over the past two weeks, running backs have averaged 7.5 rushing yards per attempt and 127 rushing yards per game against the Packers. Cook should have trouble hitting the over on this prop bet tonight.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Valdes-Scantling is averaging a career-high 47.4 receiving yards per game this season. He has totaled at least 41 receiving yards in over half the games this season, including four of the past five contests. Furthermore, since returning from the hamstring injury, MVS has averaged 58.5 receiving yards per game. Meanwhile, the Vikings have given up an average of 188.1 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the second-most in the NFL. They have given up over 195 receiving yards to wide receivers in 40 percent of their games this season. In the matchup in Week 11, MVS had a season-high 10 targets and 123 receiving yards. All it takes is one big play for MVS to hit the over on this prop bet.
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