Tonight we have a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Lamar Jackson Under 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Despite a great matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders, Jackson struggled in Week 1. While he did finish the game with 86 rushing yards, it took overtime and a 28-yard scramble to get there. Jackson averaged 67 rushing yards per game last year and 63.7 per game for his career. Furthermore, Jackson rushed for 65 or fewer yards in 60 percent of his games last season, averaging 46.6 per game in those contests. Moreover, Jackson has averaged 65.3 rushing yards per game in three career games against the Chiefs. In two of those games, Jackson rushed for under 68.5 yards. Meanwhile, the Chiefs held quarterbacks to only 15.9 rushing yards per game last season. Expect the Chiefs to keep Jackson in the pocket, limiting his rushing ability.
Travis Kelce Over 7.5 Receptions (-105)
Kelce is also arguably the most unguardable weapon in the NFL. Last week against the Browns, Kelce caught six of his seven targets. In 2020, Kelce had a career year, averaging seven receptions per game. Furthermore, he had over 7.5 receptions in 60 percent of his games last season. Meanwhile, the Ravens couldn’t slow down Darren Waller Monday night as he finished with 10 catches. The Ravens gave up the most receptions to tight ends in Week 1 and the fifth-most last season. In three career games against the Ravens with Patrick Mahomes under center, Kelce has averaged just under seven receptions per game. The Ravens have several injuries in the secondary, so expect Kelce to hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter, if not sooner.
Ty’Son Williams Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
In his NFL debut on Monday, Williams looked like a veteran. He had 65 rushing yards on only nine rushing attempts, averaging 7.2 yards per carry. Furthermore, Williams had 65 rushing yards despite playing only 51 percent of the snaps. Meanwhile, the Chiefs had no answers for the Cleveland running backs in Week 1 as Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined for 116 rushing yards on 21 attempts (5.5 per carry) and scored three rushing touchdowns. Furthermore, the Chiefs allowed the 10th most rushing yards to running backs last season, giving up 97.6 per game. The Ravens know the Chiefs struggled to stop the run last week. Combine that with their struggles in pass protection, don’t be surprised if Williams hits the over on this prop before halftime.
Patrick Mahomes Over 318.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Last week, Mahomes threw for 337 yards and three touchdowns against a talented Cleveland secondary. During that game, Mahomes made it look effortless, completing 75 percent of his pass attempts. Furthermore, Mahomes threw for 318 or more yards in over half of his games last season. Moreover, in his three career games against the Ravens, Mahomes has averaged 378.7 passing yards per game, throwing for at least 374 in each one. Meanwhile, the Ravens gave up 435 passing yards to Derek Carr last week after giving up only 235.8 passing yards per game last season. With Marcus Peterson and Chris Westry on injured reserve, expect Mahomes to take advantage and put on a show tonight.
Mark Andrews Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Even though he had a solid matchup against the Raiders last week, Andrews finished with three catches for only 20 receiving yards. However, Andrews is in a prime position to bounce back this week against the Chiefs. Last week, the Browns’ tight ends combined for seven catches and 120 receiving yards against Kansas City. The 120 receiving yards were the most given up to tight ends in Week 1. Furthermore, the Chiefs gave up 52.8 receiving yards per game to the tight end position last season. Meanwhile, Andrews finished with over 52 receiving yards in over half of his games last year. If the Ravens have any chance at winning this game, Andrews needs to have a big performance.
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