Tonight we have a matchup between the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Lamar Jackson Over 236.5 Passing Yards (-115)
After missing last week’s game, Jackson is 120 percent ready for tonight’s contest. He has averaged 271.9 passing yards per game, throwing for at least 235 yards in all but one game this season. Jackson has also averaged 281 passing yards per game over the past six games. Meanwhile, the Browns have allowed quarterbacks to average 233 passing yards per game this season. However, that number doesn’t tell the complete truth. Removing the matchup against Tim Boyle last week and Justin Fields‘ first career start, quarterbacks have averaged 268.7 passing yards per game against the Browns this season. As great as Jackson has played this season, don’t be surprised if he hits the over on this prop bet before the start of the fourth quarter.
Austin Hooper Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
When the Browns signed Hooper a few years ago, they expected a difference-maker on offense. Unfortunately, Hooper has averaged 29 receiving yards per game during his time with the Browns. However, he has picked up his play recently. Over the past five weeks, Hooper has averaged 32 receiving yards per game, totaling 25 or more receiving yards in all but one game. Furthermore, he has finished with over 25 receiving yards in over half the games this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have allowed tight ends to average 67.8 receiving yards per game this season, the fourth-most in the NFL entering Week 12. Given how badly the Ravens have covered tight ends this season, Hooper has a chance to hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Devonta Freeman Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Baltimore backfield has been a merry-go-round of running backs this season. However, Freeman appears to have taken control of the led role in the backfield. Since the bye week, Freeman has averaged 54.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the Browns have given up an average of 85.6 rushing yards per game to running backs this season. However, they have been run over by running backs the past few weeks. Over their past two games, the Browns have given up 311 rushing yards to running backs. No team in the NFL has given up more rushing yards to running backs than the Browns over the past two weeks. While Freeman won’t have 155 rushing yards tonight, he will finish with at least 60 rushing yards.
Baker Mayfield Over 209.5 Passing Yards (-115)
While Mayfield might not be the most talented quarterback in the NFL, he is arguably the toughest. Despite dealing with three different injuries, Baker will start tonight for the Browns. More importantly, Mayfield has averaged 216.6 passing yards per game this season, throwing for at least 213 passing yards in 70 percent of the games. Baker has also thrown for at least 218 passing yards in four or the past five games he has finished. Meanwhile, the Ravens have allowed quarterbacks to average 296.7 passing yards per game this season, the third-most in the NFL entering Week 12. They have given up at least 314 passing yards to quarterbacks in half the games this season. Given tonight’s matchup, Baker should have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet.
Mark Andrews Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Andrews has been one of the best tight ends in the NFL this season. He has averaged a career-high 69.6 receiving yards per game this year. Andrews has totaled at least 57 receiving yards in 70 percent of the games this season, including seven of the past nine games. Meanwhile, the Browns have held tight ends to only 41.5 receiving yards per game this season. However, they have given up an average of 60.8 receiving yards per game to tight ends over the past month, giving up at least 60 receiving yards in three of those games. Last week, the Browns gave up 51 receiving yards to T.J. Hockenson despite Boyle finishing with only 77 passing yards. Don’t be surprised if Andrews has over 100 receiving yards tonight.
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