Tonight we have a matchup between the New York Giants and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+125)
After the Buccaneers have lost two games in a row, Brady will be more motivated than ever to have a strong performance tonight. He has thrown 27 touchdowns this season, averaging three per game. Brady has more games with four or more passing touchdowns (five) than games with under three pass touchdowns (four). More importantly, Brady has averaged 3.3 passing touchdowns per game over the past three games, throwing four or more in two of them. Meanwhile, the Giants have done a good job against the pass this season, giving up only 16 passing touchdowns. However, against elite quarterbacks like Dak Prescott and Matthew Stafford, the Giants have given up an average of 3.5 passing touchdowns per game. Expect Brady to throw at least three touchdowns tonight.
Evan Engram Over 3.5 Receptions (+110)
While he has struggled with drops in his career, Engram has played well this season. He has averaged 3.7 receptions per game, finishing with three or more in six straight games. During that span, Engram has averaged four receptions per contest. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have given up the fourth-most receptions to tight ends this season. They have given up 6.6 receptions per game to tight ends this season, giving up five or more receptions in all but one game. More importantly, the Buccaneers have given seven or more receptions to tight ends in over half their games this season. While Engram won’t finish tonight’s game with seven receptions, he will have at least four.
Mike Evans to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-110)
Entering Week 11, Evans was second in the NFL in receiving touchdowns with nine. He has scored at least one receiving touchdown in four of the past five games, averaging 1.4 receiving touchdowns per contest. More importantly, Evans has caught 50 percent of Brady’s touchdown passes over the past three games. Meanwhile, the Giants have given up 10 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this season. They allowed wide receivers to score at least one receiver touchdown in 77.8 percent of the games. Over the past five weeks, the Giants have given up seven receiving touchdowns to wide receivers, giving up at least two in two of those contests. With Antonio Brown out again this week, Brady will look Evans’ way early and often in this game.
Daniel Jones Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-180)
During his rookie season, Jones averaged 1.9 passing touchdowns per game. By comparison, he has averaged only 0.8 passing touchdowns per game since. This season, Jones has only eight pass touchdowns. Jones has more games this season with zero passing touchdowns (three) than games with over 1.5 passing touchdowns (two). Jones has thrown under 1.5 passing touchdowns in 78 percent of the games this season. Furthermore, he has thrown only four passing touchdowns over the past five games. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have held quarterbacks to 1.9 passing touchdowns per game this season. However, their secondary has gotten healthier the past few weeks. Over the past four games, the Buccaneers have held quarterbacks to only four passing touchdowns. Jones is more likely to get benched tonight than throw over 1.5 touchdowns.
Leonard Fournette Over 93.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)
Fournette leads the team in scrimmage yards, averaging 85.6 scrimmage yards per game this season. He had 90 or more scrimmage yards in over half of the games this season, including five of the past six contests. Meanwhile, the Giants have given up the fifth-most rushing yards to running backs this season, giving up 110.1 rushing yards per game. They have also given up the fifth-most receiving yards to running backs, giving up 59 receiving yards per game this season. The Giants have allowed running backs to have at least 145 scrimmage yards in 89 percent of the games this year. As the featured back for the Buccaneers, Fournette will have no trouble totaling over 100 scrimmage yards in this contest.
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