Tonight we have a matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Austin Ekeler Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
For some odd reason, Justin Herbert didn’t target Ekeler in Week 1. However, Ekeler is averaging 7.5 targets per game in the two games since, catching 100 percent of them. Over the last two games, Ekeler has averaged 56.5 receiving yards per game, finishing with at least 52 in both contests. Last season, Ekeler averaged 44.4 receiving yards per game with Herbert under center. Meanwhile, the Raiders have allowed 33.7 receiving yards per game to running backs this season. However, that number doesn’t tell the complete truth. In Weeks 1 and 2, the Raiders gave up 43 or more receiving yards to running backs in both contests. Ekeler should have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Hunter Renfrow Over 4.5 Receptions (-110)
Since entering the league in 2019, Renfrow has shown to be a reliable wide receiver that Derek Carr can count on in critical moments. Entering Week 4, Renfrow ranked in the top-30 in receptions, averaging 5.3 per game. More importantly, Renfrow has five or more receptions in every game this season. While Darren Waller leads the team in targets with 33, Renfrow is the only other player with over 20 targets this season. Meanwhile, the Chargers have given up just under 12 receptions per game to wide receivers this season, giving up 13 or more in two of their three games. Renfrow has turned into Carr’s go-to option on third down and in critical moments in the game. He should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Keenan Allen Over 6.5 Receptions (-145)
Allen has always been a target machine, averaging 9.2 per game for his career. This season, Allen is averaging seven receptions on 11 targets per game, finishing with eight or more receptions in two of three games. In 16 career games with Herbert under center, Allen has finished with over 6.5 receptions in 10 of them, averaging 7.3 per contest. Meanwhile, the Raiders have given up the fifth-most receptions to wide receivers this season, allowing 16 per game despite not facing an offense as explosive as the Chargers. In his past six healthy games against the Raiders, Allen has averaged 7.5 receptions per game. Allen is more likely to finish with 10 receptions tonight than fewer than six.
Darren Waller Over 5.5 Receptions (-150)
Other than Travis Kelce, there isn’t a better tight end in football than Waller. Entering Week 4, Waller is 10th in the NFL in receptions with 20, tied with Kelce for the most among tight ends. Furthermore, Waller has at least five receptions in every game this season. He has also averaged 11 targets per game. Meanwhile, the Chargers have struggled to slow down tight ends this season, giving up the ninth most receptions to the position, giving up almost six per game. In the two games against the Chargers last season, Waller averaged seven receptions on 11 targets per game. Waller had 10 receptions in Week 1 and is more likely to have a similar performance tonight than finishing with under six receptions.
Mike Williams Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
One of the biggest surprises this season has been Williams. After averaging 47.6 receiving yards per game for his career, Williams has averaged 98.3 per game this season, finishing with 82 or more in every contest. More importantly, Williams has nine or more targets in every game this season, averaging 10.3 per game. Meanwhile, the Raiders have given up an average of 169 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. However, over the first two games, the Raiders had given up an average of 193.5 receiving yards per game to wide receivers. Entering Week 4, Williams was sixth in the NFL with 295 receiving yards. The Raiders’ defense can’t cover Williams, so expect him to have his second straight game with over 100 receiving yards tonight.
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