Tonight we have a matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Las Vegas Raiders. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Lamar Jackson Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
In a 13 day window, the Ravens lost J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, and Gus Edwards to season-ending injuries. While the Ravens have Ty’Son Williams and recently signed Latavius Murray, Jackson should see a massive uptick in rushing work tonight. Last season, Jackson averaged 10.6 rushing attempts per game. Furthermore, Jackson had 12 or more rushing attempts in 40 percent of his contests. Meanwhile, the Raiders gave up 2,013 rushing yards last season, ninth-most in the NFL. With so many injuries to the running back position, expect Jackson to have a career year on the ground this season. Jackson could easily have his ninth career 100-yard rushing game tonight.
Darren Waller Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After back-to-back seasons with over 1,100 receiving yards, Waller is arguably the best tight end in the NFL, not named Travis Kelce. In his two years as the starter, Waller has 16 games with 70 or more receiving yards, including eight last season. Furthermore, during his time as the Raiders’ starting tight end, Waller has averaged 73.2 receiving yards per game. Meanwhile, the Ravens gave up the eighth-most receiving yards to tight ends last season, giving up an average of 53.3 receiving yards per game. However, the Ravens only faced one elite tight end last season, giving up 87 receiving yards to Kelce. The Raiders’ passing attack has gone through Waller for the past two seasons, and it shouldn’t be any different this season.
Mark Andrews Over 4.5 Receptions (-155)
Speaking of talented tight ends, Andrews recently signed a new four-year deal, keeping him in Baltimore through the 2025 season. Over the past two seasons, Andrews has averaged 4.2 receptions per game. However, Andrews had five or more receptions in half of his games last season. Meanwhile, the Raiders gave up an average of 4.6 receptions per game to tight ends in 2020. While the Raiders gave up only 4.6 receptions per game to tight ends, they gave up eight receptions in both of their game against Kelce last year. With Rashod Bateman on injured reserve, Jackson will have to lean on Andrews plenty tonight. Andrews should hit the over on this prop bet before the start of the fourth quarter.
Josh Jacobs Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Jacobs is questionable to play tonight with an illness. If he doesn’t play, bettors should take the over on Kenyan Drake’s rushing total instead. Last season, Jacobs averaged 71 rushing yards per game. Furthermore, he averaged 79.1 rushing yards per game for his career. In 2020, Jacobs rushed for 55 or more yards in 11 of 15 games (73.3 percent). Meanwhile, the Ravens gave up almost 90 rushing yards per game to running backs last season. They also gave up 110 or more total rushing yards in over half of their games. The Raiders will need to control the clock to protect their defense against Jackson and the Baltimore offense. Jacobs could get enough attempts to finish with over 100 yards in this game.
Sammy Watkins Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While Watkins isn’t an elite wide receiver, he is the king of big Week 1 performances. Last season, he caught seven of his nine targets for 82 receiving yards against the Houston Texans. In 2019, Watkins caught nine of his 11 targets for 198 receiving yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Furthermore, Watkins had 43 or more receiving yards in half of his games last season. Meanwhile, the Raiders gave up 165.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers last season, ninth-most in the NFL. Furthermore, the Raiders have a very young and inexperienced secondary. All it takes is one blown coverage for Watkins to hit the over on this prop bet.
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