Welcome to another edition of Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bets! I am back for more after a day off to give you some picks for some late-night basketball action tonight!
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Overall record: 9-8
Washington State vs. USC (-8.0)
USC comes into this matchup on a five-game winning streak while playing to a 12-6 record ATS this season and 6-5 ATS when favored by eight or more. Washington State is coming off a win over UCLA, but their offense has not performed well. The Trojans have allowed just 63.2 PPG and are sixth in the country in opponent field goal percentage. USC is far superior offensively and better defensively, so this should be a double-digit win. Evan Mobley is the Trojans leading scorer with 16.4 PPG and leading rebounder with 8.9 rebounds per game.
Stanford vs. Utah (+4.5)
Stanford is 1-4 ATS in their last five and have averaged just 67.6 PPG in those five. That includes scoring a mere 51 points against Colorado on Thursday. The Cardinal has problems crashing the offensive glass and can be too loose with the ball at times. This looks to be a back-and-forth game and the Utes should cover. Timmy Allen leads the Utes with 16.9 PPG and 6.2 RPG.
Boise State (-9.5) vs. UNLV
UNLV hasn’t played well against the spread this season and is 0-6 ATS in their last six. Boise State, meanwhile, is now 11-6-1 ATS after beating the Rebels by 12 on Thursday. UNLV has been hit or miss all season but have lost road games by an average of 7.8 points and have lost their last five by an average of 7.2 points. The Broncos will be confident coming into the game, and if they start off hot, they won’t look back and win handily. Derrick Alston Jr. leads Boise State with 16.5 PPG.
Juan Toscano-Anderson over 6.5 rebounds (-115)
Why not ride the hot hand? The Warriors continue to play small with James Wiseman and Kevon Looney out, while Draymond Green and Toscano-Anderson are the big men on defense. He struggled against Nikola Vucevic last time out, as he finished with just five rebounds in 20 minutes. But Toscano-Anderson averaged 9.3 boards over the previous five games and the Brooklyn Nets have no elite big men he will have to contest with. DeAndre Jordan is also out, making this even more favorable. And yeah, his name is Juan, Bleacher Report.
Hi, I’m Steph’s teammate 🙋🏽♂️, my names Juan. https://t.co/Rmjv7rsI6E
— Juan Toscano Anderson (@juanonjuan10) February 12, 2021
Bam Adebayo over 18.5 points (+110)
Adebayo is averaging 19.7 PPG this season and has scored 19 or more points in 13 of his 23 games. The Utah Jazz have given up 22.9 PPG to centers this season and this should be a high-scoring game. Adebayo is Miami’s leading scorer and rebounder, so he will plenty of opportunities to score against a tough Utah team.
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