Welcome back to another edition of Cap’n Kielar as I am here to give you my best bets for Week 4 of the college football season. Last week we did well, hitting on six of the eight bets. Let’s try to keep that momentum going this week as there are some intriguing matchups on this tremendous Saturday.
Notre Dame (+6.5) vs. Wisconsin
When the line was at 5.5 or even 6, I would have gone the other way with this. But since it has now grown to 6.5, there’s not enough confidence in the Wisconsin offense that they can win by a touchdown plus an extra point or more. The Irish defense is solid and the Badgers struggled mightily in moving the ball against a stout defense in Penn State. This will be a field goal game and one that Notre Dame can not only cover, but also win straight up. It’s also worth mentioning that this is Jack Coan‘s revenge game, and he could put up big numbers.
Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bet: Notre Dame (+6.5)
Texas Tech (+9.5) vs. Texas
The annual meeting between the Red Raiders and Longhorns goes down in Austin after both squads trounced their opponents last week. Both teams failed to cover in Week 2, while Texas lost as a 5.5 point road favorite at Arkansas, 40-21. There seems to be way too much love for Texas this year, even still. Texas Tech junior quarterback Tyler Slough leads the Big 12 in passing yards with 804 through the first three games. On the other sideline, first-year head coach Steve Sarkisian benched Hudson Card for QB Casey Thompson in their loss against Arkansas. Thompson was the starter last week and threw for two touchdowns and one interception before Card finished the game. I can inform you that Texas is in fact, not back, and the Red Raiders will not only cover the outrageously large spread but also win the game outright. Sprinkle in some Moneyline bets on this game, but hammer the spread more.
Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bet: Texas Tech (+9.5) and some (+285) Moneyline
Texas A&M (-4.5) vs. Arkansas
The A&M defense hasn’t allowed explosive plays this season and ranks number one in the country in scoring and passing defense. Meanwhile, Arkansas will be without two key offensive linemen for the game, one of them being center Rickey Stromberg. The junior is one of the best run-blocking centers in the country, and the Razorbacks rely heavily on the run game. Not only that, but their most explosive back, junior Trelon Smith, has dealt with injuries of his own. The Aggies defense will make KJ Jefferson dropback a lot and could have a field day on him. Even with Arkansas at full strength, A&M would cover, and they will win by a touchdown or more.
Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bet: Texas A&M (-4.5)
West Virginia (+17.5) vs. Oklahoma
The Sooners were nearly upset against Nebraska last week as a 22.5 point favorite after also nearly being upset against Tulane in Week 1. Now, this week, they face their best opponent to date and are heavily favored again. Spencer Rattler can’t do it all himself, and Oklahoma has yet to get the run game going. The West Virginia defense has been strong and held 15th ranked Virginia Tech to 21 points in their upset win last week. Look for them to keep this within two scores and maybe even pull off the upset.
Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bet: West Virginia (+17.5)
North Carolina (-13.5) vs. Georgia Tech
Sam Howell is back on Heisman watch after torching Virginia for 307 yards and five touchdowns in the air last week. The Tar Heels have an explosive offense, as they have nine touchdowns of 20 or more yards through three games. Georgia Tech doesn’t apply much pressure, which will allow Howell time to operate and do what he does best. The Yellow Jackets have one of the worst offenses statistically, that North Carolina will face, so they should be able to grab an early double-digit lead and hold it.
Cap’n Kielar’s Best Bet: North Carolina (-13.5)
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