Continuing with our look into the best ADP value for each NFL team, we dive into the NFC. Loaded with premier talent, the teams in this conference offer great value picks everywhere to fantasy players who want to take advantage and find diamonds in the rough late in their drafts.
Chicago Bears: Anthony Miller, WR (ADP 142)
A second-round draft choice of the Bears in 2018, Miller has shown flashes of potential in his two seasons in the Windy City.
After a seven-touchdown campaign in his rookie season, he followed it up last year with a solid 2019 year, recording 52 receptions for over 650 yards while adding two touchdowns. A make-or-break player for Matt Nagy’s offense, expect Miller to take the majority of his snaps from the slot next season after lining up there for the 13th-most snaps in the league last year.
Projected at WR57, according to FantasyPros, Miller has been held back by injuries during his time in the NFL. However, with the departure of Taylor Gabriel, expect Miller to receive a higher volume of targets next season, making him a WR4 or WR5 option for your team.
Green Bay Packers: Allen Lazard, WR (ADP 179)
After the Packers failed to address the receiver position in this year’s NFL draft, expect Lazard to enter next season as the No. 2 receiver on the roster behind Davante Adams.
Finally getting an opportunity to get on the field in Week 6 last year, he became an immediate contributor to the Green Bay offense with 477 receiving yards and three touchdowns in seven games, leading him to rank 53rd in total fantasy points over that period.
With nearly 20 percent of the team’s target share heading out the door this offseason in the departures of Jimmy Graham and Geronimo Allison, look for Lazard to have a more significant role in his second year in Matt Lafleur’s system. Currently projected as a 14th-round pick in most fantasy leagues, Lazard is a great value pick and a breakout candidate heading into 2020.
Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford, QB (ADP 105)
One of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the league through nine weeks last season, Stafford had his campaign cut short due to a back injury. The 31-year-old was on pace for over 5,000 passing yards and 35 touchdown passes while averaging 24.8 fantasy points per game. He added over 28 points in five of his eight weeks as the Lions’ starter.
One of the best receiving tandems in football remains intact in Detroit with Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones. If Stafford can stay healthy this year, he is a great value pick as a starting quarterback in fantasy leagues to begin 2020. Currently projected as QB13, expect him to outperform that mark, with the potential to finish inside the top-10 for quarterbacks.
Minnesota Vikings: Justin Jefferson, WR (ADP 115)
The replacement of Stefon Diggs in the Vikings’ offense, Jefferson should begin the season as the primary slot receiver in Minnesota. Known for his short-area quickness, strong hands, and superb route-running skills, he led all LSU receivers in receptions in 2019 with 111 grabs in 15 games.
With the Vikings having multiple receivers on the field on over 80 percent of their snaps last season, the opportunity is available for Jefferson to range in the neighborhood of six to eight targets per game. Along with this, in new offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak’s heavy run scheme, deep play-action shots will be available, setting up big-play chances down the field.
A solid WR4 for any fantasy team, Justin will be available in the later rounds, with an ADP of 115.
Dallas Cowboys: Blake Jarwin, TE (ADP 174)
With longtime veteran Jason Witten now gone, Jarwin enters next season as the lead tight end in a loaded group of pass-catchers in Dallas. In limited action with the team last season, the 26-year old caught 31 passes for 365 yards and three touchdowns, leading him to finish ninth in explosive plays among tight ends.
With 190 targets available following the departures of Witten, Randall Cobb, and Tavon Austin, Jarwin could become a go-to guy for Dak Prescott next season in an expanded role in the Cowboys’ offense. While he is not worth starting for your fantasy team to begin the season, Blake could emerge as a starter as the year progresses, making him worth a draft and stash as a No. 2 fantasy tight end.
Philadelphia Eagles: Desean Jackson, WR (ADP 156)
Back with the Eagles after appearing in just three games last season, Jackson remains a vital part of the passing game in Philadelphia. Desperately needing a deep and speedy threat in their offense last season, the team became decimated by injuries, leading Carson Wentz to finish last in the league in yards per attempt at 6.7.
A focus position in the offseason was wide receiver as general manager Howie Roseman drafted Jalen Reagor, John Hightower, and Quintez Cephus while trading for speedster Marquise Goodwin from San Francisco. With all of these additions and having to share targets with tight ends Zack Ertz and Dallas Goedert as well as running back Miles Sanders, Jackson will struggle to receive a high volume in Doug Pederson’s offense.
However, with his stellar deep-ball skills and ability to create splash plays, he is worth a late-round pick in fantasy drafts as a reserve player on your team.
Washington Football Team: Terry McLaurin, WR (ADP 65)
One of the surprises of the league last season, Mclaurin, was the best offensive weapon for Washington, finishing WR27 in fantasy. Despite inconsistent play at quarterback and a lack of other skill players around him, the former Ohio State Buckeye finished second among rookies in receiving yards with 919 while adding seven touchdown grabs in 14 games.
Once again looking to be the lead guy for the passing attack during the 2020 season, McLaurin will begin the season as the go-to option for Washington. If he can continue his rapport with Dwayne Haskins from late last season, he could finish the year as a top-25 wide receiver. This makes him a solid pick as a starter at receiver as early as the fourth round of the draft.
New York Giants: Sterling Sheppard, WR (ADP 121)
In a season in which he could not seem to remain on the field for the Giants, Shepard still posted solid numbers in his limited action. In 10 games, the 27-year-old recorded WR2-caliber (or better) numbers in four of them, finishing his season with 57 receptions for 576 yards and three touchdowns.
Fetching close to a 25 percent target share when he was healthy in 2019, Shepard should return as one of the lead receivers for the Giants alongside second-year receiver Darius Slayton and longtime veteran Golden Tate.
With tremendous upside brought to the offense by quarterback Daniel Jones, expect Shepard to have another productive season in New York, providing fantasy owners a strong starting option at his current WR48 mark.
Seattle Seahawks: Will Dissly, TE (ADP 213)
After an Achilles injury cut his season short in 2019, the 24-year-old Dissly is expected to be back for Week 1 of the 2020 season. A productive player in his limited time in the league, Dissly has posted TE1 numbers or better in six of the 10 games he has appeared in for the Seahawks.
A favorite target of Russell Wilson, he has all the tools to be a lead tight end in the NFL with strong hands, toughness as a blocker, and developing route-running skills.
Although the position room in Seattle has become crowded following the signing of Greg Olsen and the drafting of former Stanford Cardinal Colby Parkinson, once Dissly becomes healthy, expect him to be the lead guy once again, making him a great pick late in drafts.
San Francisco 49ers: Raheem Mostert, RB (ADP 60)
Once he became the lead guy for the 49ers’ offense in the playoffs last season, Mostert broke out, rushing for 336 yards and five touchdowns in three games.
Remaining committed to a running back by committee approach in 2020, the 49ers get back Jerrick McKinnon from the injured reserve list to go along with Tevin Coleman in a crowded backfield. However, while San Francisco still has many mouths to feed, Mostert bested Coleman in almost every advanced metric in 2019, most importantly averaging more than 1.6 yards extra per rush.
The best fit on the roster for head coach Kyle Shanahan’s outside speed zone running scheme is Mostert, who checks in as a high-end RB3 with RB2 potential if Coleman or McKinnon is forced to miss time.
Los Angeles Rams: Jared Goff, QB (ADP 114)
With fantasy finishes as QB12 twice and QB6 once over the last three seasons, Goff dons a 114 ADP. Despite his 2019 struggles, this ADP is an excellent bet for owners.
After two straight seasons of posting top-12 quarterback numbers in 2017 and 2018, he struggled last season, failing to register over 25 points in any game. However, in one of the best offensive systems in the league for signal-callers under head coach Sean McVay, expect Goff to put together a strong 2020 campaign as the Rams look to return all of their starting skill players from last season.
According to FantasyPros, he is currently projected to finish as QB19 next season, but he will likely finish closer to the top-10 mark.
Arizona Cardinals: Christian Kirk, WR (ADP 98)
The arrival of DeAndre Hopkins adds some cloudiness to Kirk’s fantasy value, but his current WR40 mark provides a late option to fill out your team’s receiver group.
In his second season in Arizona last year, the 23-year-old had over 108 targets, leading to 68 receptions for 709 yards and three touchdowns. With Larry Fitzgerald set to enter his age-37 season in 2020, expect Kirk to be the second receiving option on the team behind Hopkins, leading to one-on-one coverage opportunities.
A reliable deep threat for Kliff Kingsbury’s air raid offense, Kirk fits the mold of a low-end WR3 and a high-end WR4 worthy of selection in the later rounds of your draft.
Carolina Panthers: Robbie Anderson, WR (ADP 138)
A prominent deep threat his entire NFL career, Anderson became victimized by the ongoing quarterback carousel for the Jets in 2019. However, the 27-year-old still averaged 15 yards per catch, putting him eighth among receivers with over 25 targets.
After choosing to sign in Carolina in the offseason, he will open next year as the No. 3 receiving option on the team behind All-Pro running back Christian McCaffrey and third-year standout DJ Moore.
Already having a rapport with new Panthers head coach Matt Rhule from his two seasons at Temple University and with the offense expected to be more pass-happy next season, Anderson provides the best value on the squad with his draft position hovering around the 11th round.
Atlanta Falcons: Hayden Hurst, TE (ADP 131)
Atlanta is a perfect landing spot for Hurst after he became the odd man out in a crowded room in Baltimore. He should find himself in the role of former Falcon Austin Hooper as the primary option at his position.
Owning one of the highest usage rates for tight ends in the league, Atlanta targeted tight ends 106 times in 2018 and 121 times last season, presenting Hurst’s opportunity to be a key piece of Dirk Koetter’s offense. With plenty of size and speed, Hurst checks in at 6-foot-5 and over 260 pounds. He can expect plenty of one-on-one looks playing in one of the most high-powered units in the league led by Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley.
Projected to come off the board in the 12th round of most fantasy drafts, Hayden has top-10 tight end potential in 2020.
New Orleans Saints: Jared Cook, TE (ADP 94)
In his first season with the Saints last year, Cook shined en route to a Pro Bowl selection and a top-10 finish in the league among tight ends.
Mostly due to his red-zone efficiency, the former Oakland Raider set a new career-high in touchdown catches with nine as one of the go-to guys for Drew Brees near the goal line. Featuring soft hands and strong run after the catch skills, expect him to receive the same volume of passes in 2020 despite the addition of wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders as age and arm strength begin to catch up to Brees.
Worthy of TE1 conversation in fantasy drafts, Cook’s 94 overall ADP is excellent value for any draftee looking for a diamond in the rough.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ronald Jones, RB (ADP 85)
The expected lead back joining Tom Brady in the Buccaneers’ backfield next season, Jones is a polarizing figure in drafts.
After an up-and-down first two seasons in the league that saw him become benched at points for poor play, the former second-round pick has spent the offseason working on pass protection and his explosiveness.
While veteran back Le’Sean McCoy and rookie draft pick Ke’Shawn Vaughn expect to take carries away from him, unless Jones makes mistakes or gets into trouble, his breakout potential at his current RB32 projection is an intriguing option for players in need of a running back.
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