Tonight we have a matchup between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Cooper Kupp Over 106.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While he won’t win the MVP award, Kupp might have been the best player in football this season. He led the league in receptions (145), receiving yards (1,917), and receiving touchdowns (16). Kupp is only the fourth player since 1970 to achieve the feat and the first since Steve Smith in 2005. More importantly, Kupp averaged 112.8 receiving yards per game this season. He had over 106.5 receiving yards in 64.7 percent of the games this season, including five of the past six games. Meanwhile, the Cardinals gave up an average of 151.5 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. Kupp had a season-high 13 receptions for 123 receiving yards against the Cardinals in Week 14. Expect a big performance from him tonight.
Kyler Murray Over 253.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Murray averaged a career-high 270.5 passing yards per game this season, 22.3 yards per game more than last season. He had over 255 passing yards in 64.3 percent of the games this season, including three of the past five games. Furthermore, Murray averaged 325.5 passing yards per game against the Rams this season, throwing for at least 268 yards in both contests. Meanwhile, the Rams gave up an average of 260.9 passing yards per game to quarterbacks this season, the ninth-most in the NFL. Murray had 383 passing yards against the Rams in Week 14, the second-most for him this season. Tonight’s game will be a high-scoring matchup, making it easy for Murray to hit the over on this prop bet.
Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-215)
Despite injuring his toe in Week 18, Stafford fully practiced this week and is ready to go tonight. In his first year in Los Angeles, Stafford averaged 2.4 passing touchdowns per game, the second-most in the NFL. Furthermore, his 41 passing touchdowns this season tied his career-high. He threw at least two passing touchdowns in 76.5 percent of the games this season, including in both matchups against the Cardinals. Furthermore, Stafford threw three or more touchdown passes in over half the contests this season, including against the Cardinals in Week 14. Meanwhile, the Cardinals gave up an average of 1.8 passing touchdowns per game this season, the sixth-most in the NFL. Stafford could hit the over on this prop bet before halftime.
Zach Ertz Over 5.5 Receptions (+105)
When the Cardinals traded for Ertz, they had high expectations. Since joining the Cardinals, Ertz has averaged 5.1 receptions per game, totaling four or more in eight of those 11 games. More importantly, he has turned into Murray’s go-to target since DeAndre Hopkins suffered a knee injury in Week 14. Over the past four weeks, Ertz has averaged seven receptions per game, totaling at least six receptions in every game. Meanwhile, the Rams gave up an average of 5.3 receptions per game to tight ends this season, the 10th most in the NFL. In the Week 14 matchup against the Rams, Ertz had five receptions despite Hopkins playing. With Hopkins out tonight, expect Ertz to hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Sony Michel Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Since Darrell Henderson suffered a thigh injury in Week 12, Michel has taken over as the lead back. Over the past six games, Michel has averaged 90 rushing yards per game, totaling at least 74 rushing yards in five of those games. While some will worry about the return of Cam Akers, the second-year running back had only five rushing attempts last week. By comparison, Michel had 21 rushing attempts in that game. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have given up an average of 97.2 rushing yards per game to running backs this season. In the Week 14 matchup, Michel had 79 rushing yards against the Cardinals. With Henderson on injured reserve and Akers coming off the Achilles injury, the Los Angeles backfield belongs to Michel.
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