Tonight we have a matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Los Angeles Rams. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Allen Robinson Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Robinson is one of the most underrated wide receivers in the NFL. Despite poor quarterback play, Robinson has put together back-to-back seasons with over 1,100 receiving yards. Furthermore, Robinson has totaled 70 or more receiving yards in 21 in his past 32 games. Last season, Robinson had 70 or more receiving yards in 12 of 16 games, including Week 7 against the Rams, despite catching passes from Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles. Moreover, Robinson had 70 yards against Jalen Ramsey and the Rams despite getting only four targets. Tonight, Robinson should see closer to double-digit targets and finish the game with at least 70 receiving yards.
Matthew Stafford Over 274.5 Passing Yards (-115)
After Sean McVay decided against playing his starting quarterback in the preseason, tonight will be the first time we see Stafford in a Los Angeles uniform. In his final season as a Detroit Lion, Stafford averaged 255.3 passing yards per game despite Kenny Golladay playing only in five games. Furthermore, removing the Week 16 game against Tampa Bay (where he only threw two passes), Stafford averaged 271.1 passing yards per game last season. However, two of Stafford’s top-four passing performances from last year came against Chicago. In those games, he averaged 349.5 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the Bears released pro bowl cornerback Kyle Fuller in the offseason, leaving their cornerback position inexperienced and underwhelming. Expect Stafford to have over 300 passing yards in his career start as a Ram.
David Montgomery Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts (-125)
Over the final three games of last season, Montgomery was unstoppable, averaging 25.7 rushing attempts and 103.3 rushing yards per game. Furthermore, Montgomery averaged 16.5 rushing attempts per game last season, finishing with 14 or more in 67 percent of his contests. Moreover, the Rams will get pressure on Andy Dalton all game long. The best way for the Bears to slow down Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd is by running the ball. With Tarik Cohen on PUP and the limited number of reliable wide receivers, the Bears will call Montgomery’s number early and often. Furthermore, Montgomery is more likely to finish the game with over 22 rushing attempts than under 14.
Tyler Higbee Under 3.5 Receptions (-105)
Coming off his historic close to the 2019 season, many expected Higbee to break out last year. However, Higbee didn’t, finishing with only 521 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Furthermore, Higbee averaged only 2.9 receptions per game, totaling four or more in only four games last season. Moreover, Higbee had more than 3.5 receptions in only 14 of 78 career games (17.9 percent). Meanwhile, the Bears held tight ends to only 5.5 receptions per game last season. With Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp having their way with a poor Chicago secondary, Higbee will be lucky to see three targets tonight.
Roquan Smith Over 4.5 Solo Tackles (-160)
Since entering the league in 2018, Smith has been one of the best linebackers. Smith has 361 total tackles in his career, with 253 (70 percent) as solo tackles. Furthermore, Smith has averaged 5.8 solo tackles per game in his career, including 5.5 per game or more every season. Moreover, Smith averaged a career-high 6.1 solo tackles per game last season, recording five or more in 75 percent of his contests, including seven against the Rams. With Eddie Goldman out for this game with a knee injury, Smith will have a critical role in stopping the Los Angeles running game. Whether on the ground or in the passing game, expect Smith to be very busy tonight. Furthermore, Smith could hit the over on this prop before halftime.
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