NFL Divisional Round Playoff Betting Preview

NFL Divisional Round Playoff Betting Preview

by January 21, 2023 0 comments

The NFL playoffs are underway, and after one of the more competitive wild card rounds in recent memory, the divisional round is shaping up to be an excellent slate of games. Two games on Saturday, Two games on Sunday. There will be plenty of action to watch. 

That said, there are also great betting lines, odds, and props for all four games this weekend—no need to go to multiple places. We have you covered with a quick overview of each game, the latest lines, and the odds. 

It is worth mentioning in the wildcard round, 5 of 6 games hit the over on total points. The only game that didn’t only missed by one point, and it would have been over had Bret Maher remembered that extra points go through the uprights (he missed 4!).

Listen to “Wildcard Weekend Was Anything But Tame”

Jacksonville Jaguars At Kansas City Chiefs

Viewing Information: Saturday, Jan. 21, 4:30 p.m. ET NBC

Spread: Chiefs -9

The Chiefs are rightly favored in this matchup and are one of the top contenders for winning the Super Bowl. The recipe is simple, get up early and put the pressure on the Jags. Unlike the Chargers last week, if the Chiefs are up, Kansas City knows how to close out an opponent. The key is to keep Jacksonville from hanging around in the first half. If the Jaguars go into halftime thinking they have a chance to win, this game could become a toss-up.

Moneyline: Jaguars +380 at Chiefs -490

I can guarantee you this. Chiefs fans are tired of hearing, “Jaguars moneyline Trevor Lawrence has never lost on a Saturday in his life.” Regarding betting, that is the stupidest thing I have ever heard. That’s not to say Trevor Lawrence cannot be a huge part of an upset. The game being played on Saturday is not going to be why. It would be because Lawrence rides his red-hot second half from last week and leads the Jaguars to a shootout win. 

Total Points: Over 53 Points (-110) / Under 53 Points (-110)

It is the playoffs. Offenses are breaking out their best game plans and are willing to take more risk on fourth down. All of this leads to more scoring and games hitting the over. Regardless of whether the Chiefs get out to an early lead, both teams will be chasing points.

Listen to “Divisional round giveaway show” by Jp & Calab

New York Giants At Philadelphia Eagles

Viewing Information: Saturday, Jan. 21, 8:15 p.m. ET FOX

Spread: Eagles -7.5

Only one question matters in this game, and that is whether or not Jalen Hurts is 100% healthy. If Hurts is healthy, this spread is right, and the Eagles likely cover.

Moneyline: Giants +285 at Eagles -370

While the Giants are good moneyline value, their offense focuses on running the football. When healthy, the Eagles have one of the best run-stuffing defenses in the NFL.

Total Points: Over 48.5 Points (-110) / Under 48.5 Points (-110)

The Eagles have beaten the Giants twice this year, with the first matchup totaling 70 points and the second 38 points. The second matchup was in the season’s final weak, with both teams resting some players. The first matchup is more indicative of the potential points scored.

Cincinnati Bengal at Buffalo Bills

Viewing Information: Sunday, Jan. 22, 3:00 p.m. ET CBS

Spread: Bills -5.5

The Bills are at home this time in a repeat matchup of their week 17 game that never finished; what a storyline and the Bill’s -5.5 is a solid line for Buffalo bettors. Getting the Bills under a touchdown spread is a good bet. Buffalo is 4-2 against the spread this season when favored by a touchdown or less.

Moneyline: Bengals +205 at Bills -250

Underdog moneylines always hold value but considering the Bengals may be without three starting offensive linemen is extremely concerning for Cincinnati. Any chance the Bengals have of pulling an upset will require Joe Burrow to have a big game. If he has no time to throw, it seems unlikely. 

Total Points: Over 48.5 Points (-110) / Under 48.5 Points (-110)

Noticing a trend yet? Playoff overs are the way to go, as both offenses can strike fast. The aggressiveness could also hurt either team but will help lead to more points, whether there are turnovers leading to scores or quick scoring on big plays.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers 

Viewing Information: Sunday, Jan. 22, 6:30 p.m. ET FOX

Spread: 49ers -4

Is it time to stop doubting Brock Purdy? I don’t have data in front of me, but has a 7th-round rookie quarterback ever started in the divisional round and been favored? It is doubtful. It has to help that the 49ers are loaded, and Purdy has plenty of elite options to get the football to.

Moneyline: Cowboys +170 at 49ers -200

Can Dak Prescott finally have a big moment on the big stage in the Playoffs? No beating the retirement home version of Tom Brady last week does not count. Especially considering it was only a wildcard round game. This may be Prescott’s best chance in his career up to this point. He has a good set of playmakers surrounding him on offense. At the same time, the Cowboys’ defense is decent to outstanding in some areas.

Total Points: Over 46.5 Points (-110) / Under 46.5 Points (-110)

Why quit the trend now? The over is the way to go. Dallas has scored 27 points or more in four out of their last five games. The only exception was week 18 when their playoff spots were already secured. The 49ers have scored 37 or more points in their last four games. 

Bet of the Week:

Parlay all four Division round games point total overs for odds of which gets you odds of about +1050.

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