Week 17 – Monday Night Football Best Bets: Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengalsby Dom Lunardo January 2, 2023 0 comments
Two of the best teams in the AFC take center stage this evening on Monday Night Football, with the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) hosting the Buffalo Bills (12-3). With supremacy atop the conference still up for grabs for both the Bills and Bengals, tonight is slated to be an absolute dandy. In addition to the on-field product, tonight’s matchup also sets the stage for some intriguing betting plays. So without further ado, let’s meet the two best bets sure to win you some money.
Best Bet # 1: Bills -1.0 (-110)
Yes, I believe Josh Allen and the Bills will march into Cincy and pull out a W. Despite being on the road, professional oddsmakers and sportsbooks still feel confident in the Bills eking out a win, which certainly tells you something from a sheer betting perspective. Coming into this game, the Bills have been far more efficient on the defensive side of the ball since their debacle against the Minnesota Vikings a few weeks ago.
Statistically speaking, the Bills rank seventh in the NFL in Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) and have recorded at least two sacks in 13 of their 15 games this season which should put star QB Joe Burrow under immense pressure all night long. Add this to the vast array of weapons Buffalo can employ on offense, and you certainly have the perfect storm for a Bills victory. However, I think the Bills will do enough to slow down Burrow and the Cincy offense, and I’m very confident in Buffalo -1.0 at -110 odds. So ride with them at -1.0.
Best Bet # 2: UNDER 49.5 (-110)
I locked this one in early, and since then, the line has shifted slightly to 50.5. However, I feel like this game screams under on all fronts despite two high-octane offenses. Although the game will be close, with so much at stake, I’m inclined to think we’ll have more stops than usual as opposed to a “run and gun” approach.
On the Bills’ sideline, Buffalo’s pass rush has given opposing QBs fits all year long. Tonight should be no different, even against the underlying brilliance of Burrow, resulting in fewer points on the board than usual from both teams. Cincinnati’s defense has also been prone to getting key stops at crucial points in games, hence the reason for the success (once again) in 2022. All in all, I wouldn’t overthink this one too much – lock in the under.
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