Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets: Super Bowl 56by Mike Fanelli February 11, 2022 1 comment
Sunday, we have the final game of the 2021 NFL Season as the Los Angeles Rams take on the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl 56. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for Super Bowl 56.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Cooper Kupp Over 105.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Kupp was far and away the best wide receiver in the NFL this season, leading the league in most receiving categories. He averaged 114.5 receiving yards per game, 17.4 more than any other player this season and the most since Julio Jones in 2015. More importantly, Kupp totaled at least 108 receiving yards in 65 percent of the games this season, including the playoffs. He has averaged 128.7 receiving yards per game during the playoffs, finishing with at least 142 receiving yards in two straight games. Meanwhile, the Bengals have struggled to slow down No. 1 wide receivers the past two weeks. They gave up 220 receiving yards to A.J. Brown and Tyreek Hill. Kupp will have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet.
Joe Mixon Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)
For most of his career, Mixon had a limited role in the passing game. However, he had a career year in the passing game this season with 42 receptions during the regular season for a career-high 314 receiving yards. While he averaged only 2.6 receptions per game during the regular season, Mixon has stepped up during the playoffs. He has averaged 4.3 receptions per game during the playoffs, totaling at least three in every game. Furthermore, Mixon has averaged 5.2 receptions per game over the past five contests. He had at least four receptions in 47.4 percent of the games this season, including the playoffs. Mixon should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Cam Akers Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
After missing most of the regular season with a torn Achilles, Akers returned just in time for the playoffs. While he has looked good on the field, Akers hasn’t been very successful with his rushing attempts. He has averaged 50.3 rushing yards per game during the playoffs, rushing for 55 or fewer yards in all three games. Meanwhile, the Bengals held Derrick Henry in check in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. They kept arguably the best running back in the NFL to only 62 rushing yards on 20 rushing attempts. In the NFC Championship game, Akers played only 39 percent of the snaps compared to 57 percent for Sony Michel. Furthermore, Darrell Henderson will play on Sunday. The Rams will split the backfield work, limiting Akers’ rushing upside.
Tee Higgins Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While Ja’Marr Chase deserves plenty of credit, Higgins has been equally as good for the Bengals this season. The second-year wide receiver has been productive, averaging 69.7 receiving yards per game during the playoffs. However, he has been on fire lately, averaging 99.5 receiving yards per game over the past two games. Higgins averaged 77.9 receiving yards per game during the regular season, only 7.7 yards per game less than Chase. Furthermore, Higgins has averaged 94.9 receiving yards per game since Week 12. More importantly, Jalen Ramsey will shadow Chase for this game. While Joe Burrow won’t be afraid to target Chase, he will likely lean heavily on Higgins. He should hit the over on this prop bet shortly after halftime.
Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-210)
When the Rams traded for Stafford, it was for this game. In his first year in Los Angeles, Stafford averaged 2.4 passing touchdowns per game during the regular season, the second-most in the NFL. He threw two or more touchdowns in 76.5 percent of the regular-season games. However, Stafford has been very consistent during the playoffs, throwing two touchdowns every game. Meanwhile, the Bengals gave up three passing touchdowns to Patrick Mahomes in the first half of the AFC Championship game. Even at Stafford over/under 2.5 passing touchdowns (+170), this is still a good prop bet. Stafford threw three or more touchdowns in nine of the regular season games. In the most important game of the season, Stafford will have his best performance of the year.
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