Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets: Conference Championship Gamesby Mike Fanelli January 29, 2022 1 comment
After 20 weeks of football, we are down to four teams. Tomorrow, the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Kansas City Chiefs, while the San Francisco 49ers face the Los Angeles Rams. The winner of these two games will face off in Super Bowl 56 in two weeks. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tomorrow’s Conference Championship Games.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Cooper Kupp Over 101. 5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While Kupp won’t win the MVP award, he was undoubtedly the best wide receiver in football this year. He averaged 114.5 receiving yards per game, most in the NFL and a career-high. Kupp averaged 41.9 more receiving yards per game this season than his previous career-high in 2019. Not only did Kupp average 17.4 more receiving yards per game than any other wide receiver this season, but he was consistent all year long. He had at least 108 receiving yards in 65 percent of the games this season, including a season-high 183 receiving yards last week. Furthermore, he had at least 118 receiving yards in both games against the 49ers this season. Kupp is more likely to get ejected tomorrow than finish with under 101.5 receiving yards in this game.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The second-year running back dealt with injuries this season, missing seven regular-season games. However, CEH has played well when on the field. He averaged 51.7 rushing yards per game during the regular season. Edwards-Helaire finished with at least 37 rushing yards in 72.7 percent of the games this season, including 60 rushing yards last week on only seven rushing attempts. Meanwhile, the Bengals surrendered an average of 83.1 rushing yards per game to running backs during the regular season. While CEH didn’t play in the Week 17 matchup against the Bengals, his replacement, Darrel Williams, had a season-high 88 rushing yards. CEH should hit the over on this prop bet early in the second half.
Jimmy Garoppolo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135)
Garoppolo is dealing with multiple injuries, including a thumb injury on his throwing hand. The thumb injury has impacted his performance this season. Garoppolo averaged 1.3 passing touchdowns per game during the regular season, throwing under 1.5 touchdowns in 60 percent of the games. Furthermore, he has struggled so far during the playoffs, averaging only 151.5 passing yards per game while failing to throw a touchdown in either contest. Meanwhile, the Rams held quarterbacks to only 0.9 passing touchdowns per game during the regular season, the second-fewest in the NFL. They held Kyler Murray and Tom Brady to one combined passing touchdown during the playoffs. Garoppolo is more likely to get benched tomorrow than throw two or more touchdowns.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 85.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Not only is Chase a lock to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award, but he is also already arguably a top-five wide receiver in the NFL. The rookie has been unstoppable, averaging 85.5 receiving yards per game during the regular season. However, he has stepped up his game during the playoffs, totaling at least 109 receiving yards in both postseason games. Over the past four games with Joe Burrow, Chase has averaged 19.3 receiving yards per reception and 154 receiving yards per game. More importantly, Chase had 266 receiving yards against the Chiefs in Week 17, the most in the NFL this season. While he likely won’t have 200 receiving yards in the rematch, Chase will finish tomorrow’s game with at least 100 receiving yards.
Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 Interceptions (-110)
Other than Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, Stafford has been the best quarterback in the playoffs. However, Stafford threw at least two interceptions in each of the last three games to close out the regular season. Furthermore, he had at least one interception in 64.7 percent of the regular-season games. Since Week 9, Stafford threw at least one interception in seven of the nine games to finish the regular season. Meanwhile, the 49ers’ defense forced only nine interceptions during the regular season, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. However, four of those interceptions were from Stafford, as he threw two interceptions in both games against the 49ers this season. As great as Stafford has been this postseason, expect him to throw at least one interception tomorrow.
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