Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for TNF: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikingsby Mike Fanelli December 9, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Minnesota Vikings. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Diontae Johnson Over 80.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After struggling with drops last season, Johnson has turned into one of the better wide receivers this year. He is ninth in the NFL with 914 receiving yards, averaging 83.1 receiving yards per game this season. Furthermore, he has averaged 96 receiving yards per game over the past four weeks. More importantly, Johnson has averaged 87 receiving yards per game since JuJu Smith-Schuster suffered a season-ending injury in Week 5. Meanwhile, the Vikings have given up an average of 189.9 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the third-most in the NFL. However, they have given up an average of 213.2 receiving yards to wide receivers over the past six weeks. Johnson will hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Kirk Cousins Over 252.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Despite accidentally lining up under the wrong offensive lineman, Cousins has been one of the better quarterbacks this season. He is sixth in the NFL, averaging 279.4 passing yards per game. Cousins has thrown for at least 275 passing yards in over half the games this season, including three of the past four contests. Furthermore, Cousins has more games this season with over 290 passing yards (six) than games with under 275 passing yards (five). Meanwhile, the Steelers have given up an average of 252 passing yards per game to quarterbacks this season. However, quarterbacks have averaged 275 passing yards per game over the past three weeks against the Steelers. Cousins will hit the over on this prop bet tonight even with Adam Thielen out of the lineup.
Najee Harris Over 100.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)
The rookie running back has been one of the best in the NFL this season. He is sixth in the NFL with 779 rushing yards, while his 387 receiving yards rank sixth in the NFL among running backs. More importantly, Harris has averaged 104.6 scrimmage yards per game over the past 10 games totaling over 100 yards in 60 percent of those contests. Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed running backs to average 136.5 scrimmage yards per game this season. They have given up at least 100 scrimmage yards to running backs in all but two games this season, including five of the past six games. As a critical part of the Pittsburgh offense, Harris will have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet tonight.
Justin Jefferson Over 93.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Last week Jefferson led the NFL in receiving yards with 182. More importantly, Jefferson had over 140 receiving yards for the third time in the past four weeks. He has averaged 100.8 receiving yards per game this season, the second-most in the NFL. Jefferson has more games this season with over 115 receiving yards (five) than games with under 80 receiving yards (four). Meanwhile, the Steelers have given up an average of 164.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. They have given up over 220 receiving yards to wide receivers in a third of their games this season, including two weeks ago. Joe Haden will miss tonight’s game with a foot injury. Jefferson will have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120)
While reports came out over the weekend that Roethlisberger would retire after the season, the veteran quarterback had arguably his best game of the year last week. Big Ben had two touchdowns on only 31 pass attempts against the Baltimore Ravens. More importantly, he has averaged two passing touchdowns per game over his past four games. Meanwhile, the Vikings have given up an average of 1.8 passing touchdowns per game this season. Furthermore, they have given up an average of 2.3 passing touchdowns per game since their bye week. Against the Detroit Lions last week, the Vikings gave up a season-high three passing touchdowns to Jared Goff. With Johnson and Harris on the field, Big Ben will throw at least two touchdowns in this game.
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