Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for MNF: Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ersby Mike Fanelli November 15, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and the San Francisco 49ers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions (-165)
After missing a month with a calf injury, Kittle returned last week and had his best game of the season with six receptions for 101 receiving yards. He has at least four receptions in every game this season, averaging five receptions per game. More importantly, Kittle has at least eight targets in each of his past three games, averaging 5.3 receptions per game in those contests. Meanwhile, the Rams have given up the third-most receptions this season to tight ends entering Week 10, giving 5.9 receptions per game. They have given up at least five receptions to tight ends in all but one game this season, including six or more in over half their contests. Kittle should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Matthew Stafford Over 283.5 Passing Yards (-115)
In his first year as a Ram, Stafford has played some of the best football in his career. He leads the league in passing yards, averaging 307.9 passing yards per game. He has at least 278 passing yards in all but one game this season. More importantly, Stafford has thrown for at least 294 yards in three straight games, averaging 311 passing yards per game during that span. Meanwhile, the 49ers have held quarterbacks to only 219 passing yards per game this season. However, the 49ers gave up 249 passing yards to Colt McCoy last week and 338 passing yards to Jared Goff earlier this year. After an embarrassing loss last week, expect Stafford to come out firing tonight.
Elijah Mitchell Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Usually, the 49ers use several running backs throughout the game. However, they have leaned on Mitchell when he has been healthy. Mitchell has played at least 61 percent of the snaps in every game he has been healthy this season. By comparison, no other 49ers running back has played more than 36 percent of the snaps in any game this season with Mitchell active. More importantly, Mitchell has averaged 78.2 rushing yards per game this season. He had over 100 yards in four of his six games this season, including two of the past three games. Meanwhile, running backs have averaged 79.9 rushing yards per game against the Rams this season. Mitchell should have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet.
Cooper Kupp Over 97.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Kupp has been the best wide receiver this season. Entering Week 10, Kupp led the league in receiving yards with 1,019. He has at least 92 receiving yards in all but one game this season, averaging 113.2 receiving yards per game. Kupp has finished with at least 108 receiving yards in over half the games this season. More importantly, he has at least 95 receiving yards in four straight games, averaging 124 receiving yards per game during that span. Meanwhile, the 49ers have given up an average of 151.9 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. With Robert Woods out for the season with a torn ACL and Odell Beckham Jr. playing a limited role this week, Kupp could hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Jimmy Garoppolo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-140)
Last week, Garoppolo matched his season-high with two passing touchdowns against the Cardinals. However, Garoppolo has averaged only 1.1 passing touchdowns per game this season. He has under 1.5 passing touchdowns in over 70 percent of his games this season, throwing two or more only twice. Meanwhile, the Rams have given up the second-fewest passing touchdowns this season. By comparison, they have intercepted quarterbacks 12 times this year. The Rams have held quarterbacks to only 10 passing touchdowns this season. They have given up more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in only 33 percent of their games. More importantly, the Rams have held quarterbacks to only four passing touchdowns over the past five weeks. Garoppolo is more likely to get benched tonight than finish with over 1.5 passing touchdowns.
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