Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for SNF: Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikingsby Mike Fanelli October 31, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Tyler Conklin Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
After Irv Smith Jr. suffered a season-ending knee injury, Conklin took over as the starting tight end. He has seen at least four targets in all but one game this season. More importantly, Conklin has averaged 40 receiving yards per game this season, totaling 70 or more in a third of the games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have allowed tight ends to average over 60 receiving yards per game this season. They have given up 34 or more receiving yards tight ends in all but one game this season, including two straight. Furthermore, the Cowboys have given up 69 or more receiving yards to tight ends in half their games this season. Conklin should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
Ezekiel Elliott Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)
Reports are the Cowboys will wait till the very last minute to determine if Dak Prescott will play or not. Regardless of who is under center, Zeke should be the focal point of the offense this week. After struggling against a tough Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense in Week 1, Zeke has averaged 18.2 rushing attempts and 97.6 rushing yards per game this season. More importantly, Zeke has over 16.5 rushing attempts in four straight games, averaging 18.9 rushing attempts per game in those contests. Meanwhile, the Vikings have struggled to stop the run this season, giving up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt on 23.3 rushing attempts per game. Zeke should have his third game this season with over 20 or more rushing attempts tonight.
Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions (+100)
Cousins is having arguably the best year of his career, averaging 294.8 passing yards and 2.2 passing touchdowns per game. However, Cousins has thrown an interception in two of his past three games, including against the Detroit Lions two weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Cowboys lead the league in interceptions with 11. More importantly, the Cowboys have at least one interception in every game this season, picking off the quarterback twice in all but one game. Second-year cornerback Trevon Diggs has seven of the 11 interceptions for the Cowboys this season. He has picked off the quarterback at least once in every game this season, returning two for a touchdown. Cousins should have a solid performance tonight, but he will throw at least one interception.
Tony Pollard Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Not only has Zeke had done well running the ball this season, but Pollard has averaged a career-high six yards per rushing attempt. Over the first two years of his career, Pollard averaged only six rushing attempts per game. By comparison, he has averaged 10.2 rushing attempts for 61 rushing yards per game this season. He has finished every game this season with at least 41 rushing yards since Week 1. Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed running backs to average 108.3 rushing yards per game, giving up 108 or more rushing yards in half of their games this season. Whether Dak is under center or not tonight, Zeke and Pollard will both finish this game with over 60 rushing yards.
Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 Receptions (-120)
Coming off a historic rookie season, Jefferson has played great this year. He has averaged 6.8 receptions per game this season, pulling in six or more in five straight games. Furthermore, Jefferson has picked up his play over the past four weeks, averaging 7.5 receptions on 10 targets per game, pulling in eight or more twice during that span. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have given up an average of 13.2 receptions per game to wide receivers this season, giving up 15 or more to the position in half their games. Jefferson has a 24.7 percent target share this season, almost four percent higher than anyone else on the Vikings. While he will be matched up with Diggs plenty tonight, expect Jefferson to end the game with eight or more receptions.
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