Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for TNF: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eaglesby Mike Fanelli October 14, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Philadelphia Eagles. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Leonard Fournette Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Lombardi Lenny has been the best Buccaneers running back this season, averaging 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 50.2 rushing yards per game. Furthermore, Fournette has picked up his play over the past two weeks, averaging five per rushing attempt and 79.5 rushing yards per game, rushing for at least 67 yards in both contests. Meanwhile, the Eagles have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to running backs this season, giving up 122.4 per game. They have given up at least 89 rushing yards to running backs in every game this season, including over 145 yards twice. Fournette has been on a roll lately, and given the matchup, he should hit the over on this prop bet early in the third quarter.
DeVonta Smith Over 5.5 Receptions (-130)
Despite the Eagles having one of the youngest wide receiver trios in the NFL, the rookie Smith has stepped up like a seasoned veteran. He is 19th in the NFL with 39 targets, averaging 7.8 per game, more than any other rookie wide receiver. More importantly, Smith has averaged five receptions per game this season, finishing with six or more in 60 percent of the games. Furthermore, over the past two weeks, Smith has averaged seven receptions on nine targets per game. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have surrendered the most receptions to wide receivers this season, giving up 17.2 receptions per contest to the position. With the Eagles chasing points all game long, Smith is more likely to end tonight’s game with double-digit receptions than under six.
Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-125)
At 44 years old, Brady is second in the NFL with 15 passing touchdowns this season. Furthermore, he is first in the league in passing yards per game (353.4) and pass attempts per game (45). More importantly, Brady is averaging three passing touchdowns per game this season. Furthermore, he has more games this season with four or more passing touchdowns (three) than games with under 2.5 passing touchdowns (two). Meanwhile, the Eagles have allowed the seventh-most passing touchdowns this season, giving up an average of two per game. More importantly, the Eagles have given up an average of three passing touchdowns per game over the past three weeks. Expect Brady to finish tonight’s game with four or more passing touchdowns for the fourth time this season.
Quez Watkins Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
While the rookie Smith has been the star of the wide receiver room in Philadelphia this season, Watkins has been a pleasant surprise. Despite being seventh on the team with 13 receptions, Watkins is second in receiving yards with 267. Not only is Watkins averaging 53.4 receiving yards per game, but he has over 45 receiving yards in three of his past four games this season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have surrendered the sixth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season, giving up 204 yards per contest. Furthermore, they have given up over 290 receiving yards to wide receivers in almost half of their games this season. Thanks to Watkins’ big-play ability, all it takes is one or two receptions to hit the over on this prop bet.
Giovani Bernard Over 1.5 Receptions (-155)
In the offseason, the Buccaneers added Bernard to take over as their pass-catching back. Not only is Bernard averaging almost four receptions per game, but he has at least two in every game this season. More importantly, Bernard has caught 11 of his 12 targets for 65 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns over his past two games. Meanwhile, the Eagles have given up the 10th most receptions to running backs this season, giving up six per game. They have given up at least four receptions to running backs in every game this season, giving up eight in two of their contests. Between his recent play and the matchup, Bernard should have at least two receptions by halftime.
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