Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for MNF: Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravensby Mike Fanelli October 11, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and the Baltimore Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Mark Andrews Over 4.5 Receptions (+115)
In Week 1, Andrews had only three receptions on five targets against the Las Vegas Raiders. However, Andrews finished with five receptions in every game since Week 1, averaging 6.7 targets per game. More importantly, despite being third on the team with 25 targets, he leads the team in catch percentage (72 percent). Meanwhile, the Colts have allowed an average of 4.5 receptions to tight ends this season. However, they have given up five or more receptions to tight ends in three of their four games, including a season-high seven last week to the Miami Dolphins. Andrews is one of Lamar Jackson’s go-to receivers, and he should finish tonight’s game with at least five receptions.
Jonathan Taylor Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Colts’ offense has been tough to watch at times this season. However, Taylor got going last week against the Dolphins, finishing with 103 rushing yards, making it the first time he rushed for over 100 yards this season. More importantly, Taylor has averaged 68.5 rushing yards per game this season, totaling at least 64 in each of his past two contests. Meanwhile, the Ravens have struggled to slow down running backs over the past two weeks, giving up an average of 96.5 rushing yards per game to the position. Taylor has averaged 4.7 yards per rushing attempt this season despite several injuries to the offensive line. The Colts need a win, so expect them to give Taylor plenty of work in this game.
Lamar Jackson Over 228.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Everyone knows what Jackson can do with his legs, averaging 69.8 rushing yards per game this season. However, Jackson had the 12th most passing yards entering Week 5, averaging 269.3 per game, throwing at least 235 yards in every contest this year. By comparison, Jackson’s previous career-high was 208.5 passing yards per game during his 2019 MVP season. Meanwhile, the Colts have struggled to slow down passing attacks this season, giving up an average of 232 passing yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns per game. More importantly, when the Colts have faced pro bowl caliber quarterbacks this season, they have given up an average of 266 passing yards per game, giving up at least 254 in every contest. Expect Jackson have his third straight game with over 285 passing yards tonight.
Zach Pascal Over 3.5 Receptions (+105)
This season, the Ravens have done an excellent job shutting down No. 1 wide receivers. Henry Ruggs, Tyreek Hill, Quintez Cephus, and Courtland Sutton have combined to catch nine of their 18 targets for 115 receiving yards and no touchdowns against the Ravens. Furthermore, none of those receivers finished with more than three receptions in their game. Unfortunately for Michael Pittman Jr., his streak of three games with six or more receptions ends tonight. However, that is good news for Pascal. With T.Y. Hilton out of the lineup, Pascal has stepped up as the No. 2 wide receiver, averaging 3.8 receptions per game. More importantly, Pascal has four or more receptions in three of four games this season. When Pittman struggles tonight, expect Carson Wentz to lean on Pascal.
Marquise Brown Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
If not for a couple of drops in Week 3 against the Detroit Lions, Brown would have 69 or more receiving yards in every game this season. Despite catching only three of seven targets in Week 3, Brown finished with 53 receiving yards. He has averaged 81.5 receiving yards per game this season, totaling over 90 in two of his contests. By comparison, Brown’s previous career-high was 48.1 receiving yards per game last season. Meanwhile, the Colts have given up an average of 161.5 receiving yards per game to wide receiver, giving up at least 119 in every game this season. Brown has broken out this year and should finish with over 100 receiving yards tonight against the Colts.
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