Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for TNF: Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawksby Mike Fanelli October 7, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Tyler Higbee Over 3.5 Receptions (-130)
Coming off a disappointing 2020 season, Higbee has played some of the best football in his career this year. He is averaging just under four receptions per game this season, totaling four or more in three of four games. More importantly, Higbee has caught nine of his 11 targets over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have struggled to slow down tight ends this season, giving up an average of 5.3 receptions per game to the position. Furthermore, tight ends have averaged six receptions per game against the Seahawks over the past three weeks, totaling at least five in every contest. Over his past four games against the Seahawks, Higbee has averaged four receptions per game. With Robert Woods struggling, expect Higbee to see an uptick in targets tonight.
D.K. Metcalf Under 5.5 Receptions (+105)
Since the start of last season, Metcalf has been one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, averaging 5.2 receptions per game. However, Metcalf has finished with under 5.5 receptions in 60 percent of those games. He has finished with over 5.5 receptions in only half of his games this season. Meanwhile, the Rams are holding wide receivers to 16.3 receptions per game this year. They have held wide receivers to under 15 receptions in half of their games, including a season-low 13 last week. In 2020, Metcalf averaged only four receptions per game against the Rams. Furthermore, Metcalf has four career receptions in two games against the Rams in Seattle. With Jalen Ramsey across from him, Metcalf will have a quiet performance this week.
Van Jefferson Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After a quiet rookie season, Jefferson has stepped up as the third wide receiver for the Rams this season. He has averaged 56.5 receiving yards per game this year, finishing with 42 or more in three of four games. More importantly, Jefferson has 80 or more receiving yards in half of the games this season. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season, giving up 183.8 per game. They have allowed 194 or more receiving yards to wide receivers in three straight games, including a season-high 220 receiving yards to the San Francisco 49ers last week. All it takes is one downfield catch for Jefferson to hit the over on this prop bet.
Chris Carson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Editor’s Note: Carson is unlikely to play tonight and this prop has been removed from DraftKings’ website.
Carson has been the featured running back in Seattle this season. He has 122 snaps played and 60 touches this season compared to 93 snaps and 25 touches for the rest of the backfield combined. More importantly, Carson has averaged 58 rushing yards per game this season, totaling 80 or more in half of his contests. Meanwhile, the Rams have allowed 95.3 rushing yards per game to running backs, giving up 72 or more in three of four games. Furthermore, running backs have rushed for over 120 yards in half of their games against the Rams this season, including a season-high 170 yards by the Arizona Cardinals last week. Carson should have no trouble hitting the over on this prop bet by the end of the third quarter.
Robert Woods Under 5.5 Receptions (-135)
Entering the season, many had high hopes for Woods. However, he has struggled despite averaging 6.3 targets per game. Woods has averaged only 3.8 receptions per game this season, finish with under 5.5 in every contest. Furthermore, Woods had fewer than five receptions in three of four games this season. Meanwhile, the Seahawks held wide receivers to only 13.3 receptions per game this season, giving up more than 14 in only one game. Last season, Woods averaged 4.5 receptions on 7.5 targets per game against the Seahawks, finishing with under 5.5 receptions in both contests. Furthermore, Woods has finished with over 5.5 receptions only once in his past six games against the Seahawks. Unless Woods finally breaks out of his cold streak, he won’t end tonight’s game with over 5.5 receptions.
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