Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for MNF: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboysby Mike Fanelli September 27, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 Receptions (+110)
Coming off a strong rookie season, Lamb has put together back-to-back games with over 6.5 receptions. Over the first two games of the season, Lamb has averaged 7.5 receptions on 12 targets for 92.5 receiving yards per game. Meanwhile, the Eagles have given up only 15 receptions to wide receivers this season, the second-fewest in the NFL. However, the Eagles have faced two of the worst wide receiver groups in their two games. This season, Lamb has a 28.6 percent target share, the 10th highest in the NFL. Moreover, Lamb has the fifth-highest target rate this season at 38.1 percent. With Amari Cooper dealing with a rib injury, expect Dak Prescott to target Lamb at least a dozen times in this game.
Jalen Hurts Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
There were plenty of questions surrounding Hurts entering the season. However, over the first two games of the year, Hurts has played well, especially on the ground. Hurts has averaged 8.5 rushing attempts for 72 rushing yards per game, finishing with 62 or more rushing yards in both contests. Furthermore, in the three complete starts last season, Hurts averaged 79.3 rushing yards per game, finishing with 63 or more in all of them. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have faced two immobile quarterbacks this season, giving up only six rushing yards per game to the position. However, they gave up the fourth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks last season. Expect the Eagles to take advantage of Hurts’ rushing ability tonight, with him finishing the game with over 70 rushing yards.
Tony Pollard Over 52.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)
Last week Pollard looked like a man among boys, averaging 8.4 yards per rushing attempt and 8.8 yards per touch. More importantly, Pollard had 140 scrimmage yards on only 16 touches. This season, Pollard is averaging 11.5 touches for 91.5 scrimmage yards per game. Furthermore, despite only playing 31.5 percent of the snaps last season, Pollard finished with 58 or more scrimmage yards in 25 percent of his games, including 64 scrimmage yards against Philadelphia in Week 8. Meanwhile, the Eagles an average of 153 scrimmage yards per game to running backs this season. They have given up at least 136 scrimmage yards per game in each contest. With Michael Gallup on injured reserve, expect the Cowboys to feature Ezekiel Elliott and Pollard like they did last week.
Jalen Reagor Over 3.5 Receptions (-105)
Reagor has averaged four receptions on 5.5 targets per game this season. More importantly, Reagor has played the second-most snaps on the team behind DeVonta Smith. This week, Reagor has a great matchup against Dallas. This season, the Cowboys have allowed an average of 16 receptions for 241.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game to wide receivers. Furthermore, the 32 receptions given up to wide receivers this season is the seventh-most in the NFL. Smith will see plenty of Trevon Diggs, so expect Hurts to look Reagor’s way often tonight. Reagor should see enough targets to hit the over on this prop bet by halftime.
Dak Prescott Over 25.5 Pass Completions (+100)
Over the first two weeks, Prescott has averaged 42.5 pass attempts and 32.5 completions per game. Even with the Cowboys using a run-heavy game plan last week, Prescott still completed 23 passes. Furthermore, in his four healthy games last season, Prescott averaged 34.3 completions per contest, finishing with 34 or more in three of them. Meanwhile, the Eagles have faced Matt Ryan and Jimmy Garoppolo this season. In Week 1, Ryan completed 21 of his 35 pass attempts (60 percent), while Garoppolo completed 22 of his 30 pass attempts (73 percent) in Week 2. More importantly, over his past four matchups against the Eagles, Prescott has averaged 28.5 completions on 40.3 pass attempts per game. Prescott should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.
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