Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets for SNF: Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ersby Mike Fanelli September 26, 2021 0 comments
Tonight we have a matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, gamblers only care about making money. However, which bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for tonight’s game.
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Be sure to check out all of my Fave Five Prop Bets.
Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-195)
After the Packers’ embarrassing performance in Week 1, Rodgers reminded everyone why he is the reigning MVP last week against the Detroit Lions. On Monday night, Rodgers threw four touchdowns on only 27 pass attempts. Furthermore, Rodgers had only one more incompletion (five) than touchdowns. Meanwhile, the 49ers gave up three passing touchdowns to Jared Goff in Week 1. Last season, Rodgers averaged three passing touchdowns per game, throwing over 1.5 in 88 percent of his contests, including four against the 49ers. Over his past four games against the 49ers, including the playoffs, Rodgers is averaging 2.3 passing touchdowns per game, throwing for two or more in three of them. Expect Rodgers to have another big performance on national television tonight and finish with at least three touchdown passes.
Deebo Samuel Under 65.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
No wide receiver has started the season better than Samuel. He leads the league in receiving yards (282) and yards after the catch (156). However, Samuel had two favorable matchups to start this year. Tonight, he faces the most difficult challenge of his career in Jaire Alexander. The Packers have held wide receivers to the third-fewest receiving yards, giving up only 109.5 per game this season. Last year, Samuel averaged only 55.9 receiving yards per game, finishing with under 65.5 receiving yards in more than half of his contests. Furthermore, the 49ers will want to run the ball and keep Rodgers off the field. Between the game plan and the matchup against Alexander, Samuel has no chance to hit the over on this prop bet.
Aaron Jones to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-105)
During his historical performance on Monday night with four total touchdowns, Jones scored once every 5.8 touches against the Lions. While he won’t score four times again, Jones should find the end zone at least once tonight. The 49ers have given up an average of one touchdown per game to running backs this year after giving up 13 touchdowns to the position last season. Meanwhile, Jones scored 11 touchdowns in 14 games last season, scoring at least once in 64.3 percent of his contests. Moreover, in the playoff matchup against the 49ers in 2020, Jones had two touchdowns on only 17 touches. After his strong performance last week, expect the Packers to feature Jones once again this week.
George Kittle Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Over the first two weeks, Kittle is averaging four receptions for 47.5 receiving yards per game. However, he is in a great situation to have his best performance of the year tonight. The Packers have given up 14 receptions on 18 targets for 105 receiving yards and a league-high three touchdowns to tight ends this season. Furthermore, they gave up 66 receiving yards on eight receptions to T.J. Hockenson last week. Meanwhile, Kittle averaged 79.3 receiving yards per game last season, finishing with 68 or more in half of his contests. While he didn’t face the Packers last season, in his previous regular-season matchup against Green Bay, Kittle had 129 receiving yards on six receptions. Expect to have a breakout game tonight and finish with over 80 receiving yards.
Davante Adams Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Tonight, Adams gets his best matchup of the season as the 49ers have given up an average of 128 receiving yards to wide receivers this year. However, they have faced the Lions and Philadelphia Eagles over the first two weeks of the season. The problem is, neither team has a superstar wide receiver like Adams. Last season, Adams averaged 98.1 receiving yards per game, finishing with over 100 yards in half of his contests, including 173 against the 49ers. Furthermore, Adams is averaging 155.5 receiving yards per game over his past two games against San Francisco. The 49ers don’t have anyone who can defend Adams, and he should hit the over on this prop before the start of the fourth quarter.
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